2015 AFC South Season Odds Preview

The two-time defending AFC South champion Indianapolis Colts have taken a positive step forward in each of franchise quarterback Andrew Luck’s first three years in the NFL, and they sit as the -400 favorites to take the division crown for the third season in a row at Bodog.

The Colts went to the playoffs as an AFC Wild Card team in Luck’s rookie year and have finished the past two seasons with 11-5 campaigns that were each good enough to win the division.

Indianapolis added some veteran offensive weapons for Luck heading into his fourth year, signing free agent wide receiver Andre Johnson and running back Frank Gore to replace Reggie Wayne and Trent Richardson, respectively. But the Colts defense also needs to play much better if they are going to move even closer to their ultimate goal of winning the Super Bowl.

Johnson is a potential Hall of Famer and hoping for one more shot at a championship after leaving the Houston Texans, who are the +450 second choice (bet $100 to win $450) to win the division at Bodog.

The Texans finished 9-7 last season in head coach Bill O’Brien’s first year there, and he needs their offense to evolve and match a solid defense led by reigning NFL Defensive Player of the Year J.J. Watt.

The two other AFC South teams do not have much of a chance to contend for the title this season after both of them combined to go 5-27 a year ago.

The Tennessee Titans are +1200 to win the division at Bodog and will likely need top draft pick Marcus Mariota to win Offensive Rookie of the Year honors if they are going to contend in his first season. Mariota, who won the Heisman Trophy as quarterback of the Oregon Ducks last year, was selected second overall by the Titans in the 2015 NFL Draft.

The Jacksonville Jaguars won one more game than Tennessee in 2014 but have even worse odds to win the AFC South this season at +2000. The Jaguars have already lost their first-round draft pick Dante Fowler to a torn ACL that will keep him out the entire year. The former Florida Gators defensive end was picked third overall in the draft.

Updated Odds To Win 2015/16 AFC South at Bodog (May 28)
  • Indianapolis Colts -400
  • Houston Texans +450
  • Tennessee Titans +1200
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +2000
Opening Odds To Win 2015/16 AFC South at Bodog (May 5)
  • Indianapolis Colts -400
  • Houston Texans +450
  • Tennessee Titans +1200
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +2000

NFL Football Futures Odds

Archived Articles

2014 AFC South Odds Preview

Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts had a cakewalk in the AFC South last season, putting up a victory in 11 of their 16 games and ending up as the only team in the division to finish above the .500 mark.

And heading into the 2014 season the Colts have been pegged by the oddsmakers at the sportsbooks as the clear favorites on the AFC South odds – at Bodog they’re the -200 chalk to claim the division title. Indianapolis went a perfect 6-0 against AFC South teams last season.

Indianapolis Colts Odds to Win AFC South -200
Houston Texans Odds to Win AFC South +300
Tennessee Titans Odds to Win AFC South +700
Jacksonville Jaguars Odds to Win AFC South +1400

The Houston Texans were expected to challenge for the AFC South division crown last season, but instead they bottomed out with a 2-14 record and a 1-5 mark within the division. With Houston turning to quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick the oddsmakers expect a bit of a turnaround in 2014, with Bodog listing them second at +300 on the AFC South odds.

The Tennessee Titans, who went 7-9 overall and 2-4 in the division last season, are then at +700 on the AFC South odds at Bodog, with the Jacksonville Jaguars last on the futures list at +1400. The Jaguars posted a 4-12 record last season, going 3-3 against AFC South teams.

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2013 AFC South Odds Preview

Houston finished 12-4 SU, edging Indianapolis by one game in the standings last season. With Andrew Luck and Matt Schaub leading two of the AFC’s top offenses, the race between the two teams figures to be a good one again in 2013. In the meantime, the Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars will try to take steps forward in their rebuilding processes.

Houston Texans (Odds to Win Division at Bodog -250)

The Houston Texans looked like the best team in football through the first three months of the season last year going 11-1 SU and 8-4 ATS through their first 12 games. But the Texans faltered down the stretch, finishing the regular season on a 1-3 SU and ATS skid and eventually losing to New England in the postseason.

Now re-focused and re-tooled on defense with Brian Cushing returning and Ed Reed acquired, Houston is arguably the league’s best team on paper. With Matt Schaub, Arian Foster, and Andre Johnson leading a loaded offense and a talented defense behind them, Houston has the look of a Super Bowl contender.

Indianapolis Colts (Odds to Win Division at Bodog +240)

You wouldn’t have known that Andrew Luck was a rookie watching him play last year. The elite young player led Indianapolis to a remarkable 11-5 SU and ATS season just one year after the Colts finished 2-14 SU.

Ahmad Bradshaw joins the attack, and gives the Colts a legitimate running threat to go with their powerhouse passing game. What separates the Colts from the Texans on paper is the defense, which still has some work to do, especially in improving against the run. But Luck should lead an offense that is able to shoot out with anyone, which will keep Indianapolis in just about every game.

Tennessee Titans (Odds to Win Division at Bodog +800)

Tennessee’s offense is just a big batch of question marks. Can Chris Johnson find the form that led him to over 2,000 rushing yards in 2009? Can Jake Locker finally stay healthy and start reaching his potential at quarterback? Will Kenny Britt bloom into a star at wide receiver?

Even if all of those questions end up with positive answers for the Titans, their defense will still leave plenty to be desired. Tennessee could make for an interesting team with some high scores in 2013, but the Titans aren’t ready to compete with Houston or Indianapolis just yet.

Jacksonville Jaguars (Odds to Win Division at Bodog +2800)

There is no way around it; the Jacksonville Jaguars are an absolute mess. Maurice Jones-Drew is the one bright spot on a team severely lacking in talent on both sides of the ball, and you have to wonder how much more damage his body can take after years of being this team’s workhorse.

Blaine Gabbert or Chad Henne at quarterback doesn’t excite anyone, and the defense figures to be among the league’s worst, especially playing in the offensively gifted AFC South. The Jaguars went 2-14 SU last year and don’t figure to be much better this year, likely battling with Oakland for the first pick in next year’s draft.

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2012 AFC South Odds Preview

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2011 AFC South Odds Preview

Indianapolis has had a stranglehold on the AFC South for years, winning the division seven times over the last eight seasons. But with questions swirling this preseason about Peyton Manning’s recovery from his offseason neck surgery, the Colts may be losing their iron grip over the division. Can Houston finally put it all together and take the next step, or can Jacksonville or Tennessee find their way in? The AFC South should be very interesting.

Indianapolis Colts (Odds to Win Conference at Bodog 9/1)

Peyton Manning has never missed a game over the course of his 14-year career, so it is hard to imagine the Colts without him under center. Indianapolis could survive a game or two without him, but if he misses significant time or is less effective due to the injury, the Colts will be in trouble.

No one, not even Manning, seems to have a grasp on the situation. Bettors that believe he’ll be fine may be getting good value on him right now; but they do so at a risk.

Houston Texans (Odds to Win Conference at Bodog 12/1)

If a team is going to take Indianapolis’ spot atop the division, the Texans will likely be the team to do it. Loaded with one of the best offenses in football including Matt Schaub, Arian Foster, and Andre Johnson, Houston will (as usual) have no trouble putting up points.

Whether or not the defense can step up is the question. Cornerback Johnathan Joseph was a great addition and will certainly improve the unit, but he’ll need help from the supporting cast to help catapult the Texans into the playoff hunt.

Jacksonville Jaguars (Odds to Win Conference at Bodog 35/1)

In Maurice Jones-Drew, the Jaguars have one of the best and most reliable feature running backs in the game, and he alone keeps Jacksonville in many games. He struggled with knee issues last season, and will need to stay healthy to keep Jacksonville afloat this season.

With a terrible defense and a less-than-stellar supporting cast around Jones-Drew, Jacksonville isn’t likely to win the AFC South. But with so many question marks around the division, they could stay in the hunt with another eight-win season like they had last year.

Tennessee Titans (Odds to Win Conference at Bodog 35/1)

Chris Johnson and the Titans were finally able to work out a new deal, ending the holdout and getting Johnson back on the field. While his style is different than Maurice Jones-Drew, he shares the same ability to take over a game and slow down superior teams.

Like Jacksonville, Tennessee also has a lackluster offense and bad defense, making them more likely to finish in the bottom half of the division standings.

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