2015 SuperContest: Week 5 Lines Drop

With the possibility of putting out a significantly stale line for the third straight week, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook waited as long as possible before releasing the Week 5 SuperContest Card.

In the end, the Indianapolis Colts are 1-point road underdogs against the Houston Texans for the Thursday Night Football game with Indy quarterback Andrew Luck’s status still up in the air due to a shoulder injury.

Luck missed last week’s game, but the news did not break until Sunday that he would not play, giving 403 confident contestants who submitted their picks before Saturday’s contest deadline the opportunity to grab the Jacksonville Jaguars at +9. The Colts closed as 4-point home favorites and ended up beating the Jaguars 13-10 in overtime with Matt Hasselbeck under center.

Brees Status Has Affected Past Contest Cards

Two weeks ago, the Carolina Panthers were listed as 4.5-point home favorites against the New Orleans Saints on the SuperContest Card before it was announced that quarterback Drew Brees would miss the game for the underdogs with a shoulder injury.

The Panthers moved as high as double-digit favorites and defeated the Saints 27-22, failing to cover the closing NFL betting odds but beating the contest line.

New Orleans should have actually covered both, but Brees’ backup Luke McCown bobbled the hold on the extra point following the game’s final touchdown, allowing a record number of Carolina backers to breathe a sigh of relief.

The Panthers were the most picked team in the contest’s history, selected on 713 of 1,727 entries (41 percent).

Ironically, the Saints were 3-point home favorites against the Dallas Cowboys last week on the SuperContest Card even though it was not known whether Brees would return. He did start for New Orleans in a 26-20 overtime victory, but the NFL odds did not change leading up to kickoff.

Cutler Returned to Lead Bears to a Victory

The same scenario happened with the Chicago Bears, who were 3-point home underdogs against the Oakland Raiders. Bears quarterback Jay Cutler had missed the previous game with a hamstring injury, but like Brees with the Saints came back to lead his team to their first victory.

Cutler’s status was unknown until early Sunday, and again the line did not move after news broke that he would start.


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