MLB Picks and Parlays: Battle of New York has the Mets Visiting the Yankees
It’s been a tough August for the New York Yankees. They are just 4-8 after dropping two of three to their chief rivals the Boston Red Sox. Meanwhile, they’ve watched Boston start to pull away in the division after winning ten of their last 11. The lead has now been stretched to 5.5 games and New York might be thinking of protecting their wild card spot rather than competing for a division title.
Sunday’s loss was particularly heart breaking after the Yankees took a 2-1 lead into the ninth inning with rookie pitcher Jordan Montgomery matching up brilliantly with Cy Young favorite Chris Sale. But rookie Rafael Devers hit a 103 MPH fastball off of Aroldis Chapman to tie the game and red-hot Andrew Benintendi came up with the game winning RBI in the tenth.
The Yankees offense has rather dramatically hit a collective slump. After being a top-three offense for most of the year in MLB they are now 28th out of 30 teams this month, averaging just 3.25 RPG.
At that level, a pitching staff that has a collective 3.98 ERA is not good enough to pick up the slack.
The New York Mets are 5-7 on the month after taking three of four from the Phillies on the weekend. The losses helped solidify the Phillies spot with the worst record in the Major Leagues. In games against more competitive teams, such as the Rockies and Dodgers they dropped five of six earlier in the month.
On Sunday the Mets won 6-2 as both Curtis Granderson and Michael Conforto hit two-run home runs. Conforto now has 26 home runs on the season to go along with 62 RBIs and is starting to give Aaron Judge a run for his money as the best up and coming player in New York. It should be fascinating to watch them go head to head all week.
Rafael Montero (1-8, 6.06 ERA) has struggled in his past three starts, allowing 13 earned runs in 13.1 innings for a 8.93 ERA. The Mets lost his last start 5-1 to the Rangers and he allowed four runs in three innings. They’ve lost six of his last seven games overall.
Luis Cessa (0-3, 4.83 ERA) hasn’t started a game since the end of June as he’s been shifted to a long-form reliever in July. He had three appearances totalling 10 innings where he did not give up a run and two others totalling 4.2 innings where he gave up six runs total. His last appearance was on July 30th and was then sent down to AAA. He’s replacing Masahiro Tanaka who’s out with shoulder issues.
- NY Mets is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets’s last 7 games
- NY Yankees is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Yankees is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
NY Yankees is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cash It In: The Yankees are -176 favorites and the Mets +166 underdogs. Both teams feature major unknows on the mound. The Mets may have won three of four, but the Phillies are not to be confused with the Yankees, even when they’re slumping. The home record for the Yankees is still a respectable 33-22 and I think they’ll find a way in this one. Yankees 8-5.