Betting Lines & MLB Predictions: Cards vs Royals 08/08/17

MLB Picks and Parlays: St Louis and Kansas City Meet in the Battle of Missouri

by @MattCashCapper

Vegas Odds by Bovada
Cardinals -125
Royals O/U 9

Michael Wacha

St. Louis Cardinals must be counting their lucky stars that they play in the division that no one seems to want to win. Just when it seemed that the Chicago Cubs were going to go on a run and put everyone in their dust, they dropped four out of five entering Monday’s games and that’s opened the door back up for their main rivals.

The Cardinals therefore have found an opportune time to go on a little winning streak of their own, now winners of three straight after beating the Royals 11-3 on Monday. The victory evened their record at 56-56, the first time they’ve been at .500 since June 2nd. Yet they find themselves just three games back of the Cubs for first place.

Kansas City Royals seemed to be in hot pursuit of the Cleveland Indians and settling in well to the second wild card spot in the American League. They remain within earshot of Cleveland, three games back, but they have slumped of late after their nine-game winning streak came to an end on July 28th. Since then they are just 3-7 and they’re now tied with the Rays for that last playoff spot.

On Monday the Cardinals ran away with the game on the strength of a six run fourth inning that gave them a 7-1 lead. Matt Carpenter led the way with a three-run home run in the inning. He’s now hitting .451 with 14 RBIs in 13 career games at Kauffman Stadium.

The win was the second straight blowout for the Cardinals as they also beat the Reds 13-4 on Sunday.

The Cardinals 3.02 ERA since the All-Star break is third best in the Majors. They’re averaging 4.57 RPG which is tied for 16th.

The Royals have a 3.91 ERA since the break which is ninth best. They’re averaging 5.3 RPG which is top-five.

Michael Wacha (8-4, 3.66 ERA) has been strong since the All-Star break with three strong starts out of four. He’s allowed one run in 19 innings in those three and five in six in the other. All told that adds up to a 2.16 ERA. The Cards have won six of his last eight starts.

Jason Vargas (13-5, 3.10 ERA) might be seeing fatigue catch up to him after he missed most of last year with Tommy John surgery. He had a 2.22 ERA heading into July, but it’s just 6.98 since then. It’s been a mixed bag in his last three starts. He gave up three runs in five innings of a 6-0 loss to the Orioles last time out. He allowed three runs in 11 innings against the Red Sox and White Sox prior to that, both wins for the Royals. Kansas City has won eight of his last ten starts.

 

Cash It In: The Cards are -125 favorites, the Royals +105 underdogs. With Wacha cruising of late and the Cards bats producing I like their chances to get the win in this one. St Louis 6-4.

MLB Expert Picks and Parlays: Cards -125 &  Over 9

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