MLB Odds & Expert Picks: Pirates vs Giants 07/25/17

MLB Picks and Parlays: Pittsburgh and San Francisco Square Off on the West Coast

by @MattCashCapper

Vegas Odds by BetOnline
Pirates  O/U 7½
Giants -115

Madison Bumgarner

Pittsburgh Pirates has been one of the hotter teams in baseball ever since July 4th. They went 5-1 before the All-Star break and 7-1 in their first eight games after the break. That 12-2 record included a four-game sweep of the first place Brewers and taking two of three from the Cardinals. They made up important ground in the division while keeping their foes at bay.

They ran into the buzzsaw that has been the Colorado Rockies offense on the weekend, dropping the final two games of that series while getting outscored 20-6. A trip to the worst team in the NL not named Philadelphia seems to be just what the doctor ordered to get back on the winning track.

Gerrit Cole pitched a solid six innings and Pittsburgh put up six runs in the first two innings of their opening series win against the Giants.

The San Francisco Giants are a shocking 25 games under .500 coming into this game. The fall from grace has been sudden and hard this year. They’ve played the Padres seven times since the end of the All-Star break and have a 2-5 record in those games against their nearest competitor. Sandwiched in between they took two of three against Cleveland for a 4-7 record since the break ended.

Pittsburgh is seventh with a 4.25 ERA since the break and 9th averaging 4.45 RPG.

San Francisco is 11th with a 4.77 ERA since the break and 12th, averaging 3.55 RPG.

Jameson Taillon (6-3, 3.08 ERA) has been pitching very well all season and that includes since coming off the DL in mid-June. He’s allowed two runs or less in five of seven starts since then and the Pirates have won five of those appearances. He’s been even better in his last four with six runs allowed and 26 strikeouts in 21.2 innings (2.55 ERA) of work. He gave up two runs in 5.1 innings of a 4-2 win over the Brewers in his last start.

Madison Bumgarner (0-4, 3.57 ERA) has looked pretty good in his two starts since coming back from an extended stay on the DL. But the rust has shown and which such a dismal offense behind him, there’s been no margin for error. He’s allowed seven runs in 13.1 innings in his return and took the loss giving up four runs in 6.1 innings to the Padres last time out. The Giants have lost both of his games and all six that he’s started this year.

 

Cash It In: The Giants are -115 favorites, the Pirates -105 underdogs. Losing all six of Bumgarner’s starts is a shocking statistic and not one that is likely to continue for much longer. Look for a Giants win here. San Fran 4-2.

MLB Expert Picks and Parlays: Giants -115 &  Under 7½

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