MLB Odds & Predictions: Red Sox vs Yankees 08/13/17

MLB Picks and Parlays: Boston and the Yankees Play Rubber Match on Sunday Night Baseball

by @MattCashCapper

Vegas Odds by Bovada
Red Sox  -165
Yankees O/U 8

Chris Sale

Boston Red Sox evened their weekend series with New York on Saturday with a comfortable 10-5 win in the Bronx. The Yankees took game one with a five run eighth inning that erased a 3-0 lead, but there would be no comeback in game two.

New York Yankees actually sped out to a 2-0 first inning lead, but that was the end of their highlights on this night. Boston won on the strength of two-five run innings. The first came in the third inning and then again in the fifth.

Rookie Andrew Benintendi is earning his spot back in the lineup after starting on the bench to begin August. He hit two three-run homers in the game and is now 15 for 31 on the month and has reached base 20 times in his eight games.

Gary Sanchez hit his 19th home run as part of a three-homer day for the Yankees, but two of them were solo shots in the ninth inning.

Boston has now won nine out of their last ten games to bring their lead in the AL East back up to 4.5 games on New York. They’ve got a 3.46 ERA through the streak while averaging 6.4 RPG. That last mark is tops in the AL which is an encouraging sign for a Boston team that’s been inconsistent offensively this year.

New York is 5-7 over the same span with a 3.63 ERA. Their issue has been on the offensive side of the ball. They’ve had one of the best offenses all year, but they’ve struggled since the All-Star break. They’ve averaged just 3.83 RPG over the past 12 games and 4.10 since the break. That last number is 12th in the AL.

Aaron Judge is probably the lead culprit for the slumping team, hitting just .169 with five homers and 12 RBIs since the break, but he’s not alone. Matt Holliday is hitting just .136 and Jacoby Ellsbury is at .161.

Chris Sale (14-4, 2.57 ERA) shut out the Rays over eight innings last time out, allowing just two hits and nailing 13 strike outs. It was a great bounce back performance after a shocking outing in his previous start when he gave up seven runs in five innings to the Indians. He’s only allowed nine runs total in his other nine most previous starts. Boston’s won his last four games.

Jordan Montgomery (7-6, 4.05 ERA) has been having a solid rookie season, and has had a couple of solid performances of late. It seemed like the grind might be catching up with him in July as his ERA raised from 3.53 on June 26 to 4.09 on July 19. Last time out he gave up one run in five innings to the Indians and three starts ago it was one run in 6.2 innings to the Reds. Sandwiched in between he gave up four runs in 2.2 innings to the Rays. New York has won two of his last three starts after losing four in a row.

 

Cash It In: Boston are -165 favorites and New York +145 underdogs. Sale on Sunday Night Baseball taking on the Yankees is why Boston acquired him. I fully expect him to rise to the occasion and it doesn’t help that Montgomery will likely be at less than 100% after taking a baseball to the head on Saturday while signing autographs. Red Sox 6-1.

MLB Expert Picks and Parlays: Red Sox -165 &  Under 8

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