MLB Odds and Picks: Rockies vs Diamondbacks 06/30/17

MLB Picks and Parlays: Colorado and Arizona Resume Rivalry Friday Night

by Matt Cash @MattCashCapper

Vegas Odds by Bovada
Rockies O/U 9
Diamondbacks -138

Robbie Ray

Baseball is a very fickle sport. One day you’re up and everything’s going your way. But an error here, a seeing ball with eyes there and all of a sudden the losses can start to pile up. Just ask the Colorado Rockies who for two and a half months could do no wrong.

They were one of the surprise teams in the game, in great part because of a pitching staff that was the equal of their usual dominant hitting crew.

They started June on a 14-4 tear, keeping pace with the red-hot Arizona Diamondbacks and Dodgers for the best records in the National League. Then they hosted Arizona and took the first game of the series 4-3. But it’s been all downhill ever since with eight straight losses. The first five came against both Arizona and Los Angeles and none of them were particularly close.

Then they went to the hugely disappointing Giants where they were likely counting on some easy wins and were promptly swept by them as well.

Now they head to Arizona trying to stop the bleeding which has seen them fall 5.5 games out of first and 3.5 back of the Diamondbacks for second.

They’ve been outscored 66-23 through the losing streak.

Arizona has had a better time of it since that series, and a much easier schedule. They came home to seven games against the Phillies and Cardinals and won four of those five before dropping the last two to St Louis. They are 6-3 in their last nine and have outscored their opponents 57-37 over that span.

Jon Gray (0-0, 4.38 ERA) returns to the mound Friday night after being out of the lineup with a foot injury since April 13th. Probably best to expect some rust in his game. In his first three starts he’s only managed 12.1 innings, with his longest start 5.1 innings. The Rockies won each of those games.

Robbie Ray (8-3, 2.87 ERA) is having a career year for Arizona in his third full season in the Majors. He’s a power pitcher who’s struck out a lot of hitters in his career, including 218 in 174.1 last year. He’s matching those numbers this year with 119 in 94.0 innings. But the hit rate is way down with just 67 allowed. He’s been on fire since a May 20th start as he’s won six in a row and the Diamondbacks have won all seven of his starts. He’s allowed just seven runs over that span in 48.2 innings and four of them came in one start.

 

Cash It In: Arizona are -138 favorites and Colorado +118 underdogs. Given how well Ray is pitching and the unknown that is Gray, the Diamondbacks are a strong pick here. Arizona 6-2.   

MLB Expert Picks and Parlays: Diamondbacks -138 &  Under 9

Tagged with:

Leave a Comment