MLB Predictions: Red Sox vs Rangers 07/03/17

MLB Picks and Parlays: Boston Heads to Texas to Start a Three-Game Set

by Matt Cash @MattCashCapper

Vegas Odds by Bovada
Red Sox  -115
Rangers O/U 11

Craig Kimbrel

The Boston Red Sox appear to be heating up and perhaps ready to create a little distance between them and their AL East rivals.

They head to Texas winners of six out of seven after dismantling Toronto on the road over the weekend. That follows right on the heals of a four-game series with Minnesota where they took three out of four games.

Boston outscored those teams 48-16 through the streak.

This was supposed to be one of the best offenses in the league coming into the season, so its been surprising that they’ve been trying to find their footing for much of the campaign.

But if this is a sign of things to come then watch out world.

The pitching staff with David Price and Chris Sale already features two of the best pitchers in the game and Craig Kimbrel is pitching like the best closer in baseball.

Texas Rangers has been playing very much like the .500 team that their record shows them to be. They’ve been hovering within a couple games on either side of that border for the last three weeks. Monday’s game is a return home after a ten-game road trip through New York (to face the Yankees), Cleveland and Chicago (White Sox). They went 4-6 through the trip. And now come home without a break.

They scored 52 runs on the trip and allowed 52 as well.

Elvis Andrus had a hot week producing nine RBIs and hitting .393 to lead the offense. Adrian Beltre was next hitting .259 with six RBIs. The team hit just .224 in their last seven, while opponents hit .280. But Texas hit 19 homeruns to seven and outscored those teams 47-45.

Rick Porcello (4-10, 5.06 ERA) continues to struggle in his post Cy-Young year. He gave up four runs in six innings of a 4-1 loss to the Twins last time out. He’s allowed four or more runs in five straight starts. His ERA in June was 6.63 and opponents hit .329 off of him in May and .323 in June.

Martin Perez (4-6, 4.70 ERA) skipped a turn on the rotation after injuring his non-throwing thumb. Prior to that he’d been struggling as well with at least four runs allowed in four out of five starts. He gave up four runs (three earned) in six innings in an 11-4 win over the Blue Jays in his last start. But the Rangers have won the last three games he’s been on the mound scoring 27 runs in the process. His June ERA was 6.30 and opponents hit .357 off him.

 

Cash It In: Boston are -115 favorites, Texas -105 underdogs. Taking the home team on day one after a long road trip is generally a risky proposition. This game feels like it’ll be between two starters who will have a hard time getting anyone out. Given the way the Red Sox are rolling, those factors make them the stronger choice in a high scoring affair. Red Sox 9-6.      

MLB Expert Picks and Parlays: Red Sox -115  &  Over 11

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