MLB Picks and Parlays: Colorado and San Francisco Start a Three-Game Set on Monday
by Matt Cash @MattCashCapper
Colorado Rockies is the midst of run where nine of their 12 games are against the teams they are fighting for first in the NL West. They faced Arizona and the Dodgers for six games and next weekend they’ll head to Arizona for another three-game set.
In between they get to take a break and hope to pick up some easier wins against the sad sack San Francisco Giants.
They started this run with a 4-3 win over the Diamondbacks, but have since gone on to lost their next four heading into Sunday’s games. They’ve scored just eight runs in those games and a grand total of one in losing the first two to the Dodgers.
Of course, it’s not everyday that you’re going to be facing Alex Wood and Clayton Kershaw.
As such a team that was in first place one week ago has fallen 3.5 games out of first heading into Sunday.
The Giants in the meanwhile remain in total freefall and it’s possibly the most shocking story in baseball. The mini-dynasty that won three World Series in six years is coming to a sad ending with this season. They have the second worst record in the Major Leagues and have had an atrocious June with a 5-17 record. They’ve also lost 11 of their last 12 games as of Saturday.
The offense led by Buster Posey does not look like a team with such a horrible record. They’ve averaged 4.91 RPG in June and he’s hitting .345 overall and .338-3-15 this month. It’s the pitching that’s collapsed as they have a league worst 6.31 ERA this month and opponents are hitting an astounding .318 off of them. That’s about as bad as it can get. The bullpen has really struggled with five relievers with at least five appearances sporting an ERA of 5.87 or worse. That includes closer Mark Melancon and his 12.46 ERA and Derek Law with six appearances and a 13.50 ERA.
German Marquez (5-3, 3,92) is having a fine first full season in the Majors. He’s allowed two runs or less in seven of his last eight starts. He gave up one run in six innings against the Diamondbacks last time out. The Rockies have won seven of those eight starts.
Jeff Samardzija (2-9, 4.74 ERA) has been one of the Giants better pitchers of late. He’s had three quality starts in his last four outings and allowed three runs or less in eight of his last ten starts. But two starts ago he was roughed up by the Rockies allowing eight runs in six innings. The Giants have lost five of his last six starts.
- Colorado is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
- Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
- Colorado is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
- San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
- San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
- San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cash It In: San Francisco are -130 favorites, Colorado +110 underdogs. A struggling Giants team is exactly what the wounded Rockies are looking for and I expect them to take full advantage. Rockies 7-3.