MLB Vegas Odds & Free Picks: Indians vs Red Sox 07/31/17

MLB Picks and Parlays: Cleveland Heads to Boston to Start Three-Game Series

by @MattCashCapper

Vegas Odds by Bovada
Indians  -116
Red Sox O/U 10½

Doug Fister

Cleveland Indians had a nine-game winning streak snapped in a 3-1 loss to the White Sox on Sunday. They are one of the hottest teams in baseball, but the wins have come against Toronto, Cincinnati, the Angels and the first two games against Chicago. That is a who’s who of baseball mediocrity.

The timing though is good because the Royals have also caught fire winning nine of ten so this streak has kept them two games up on Kansas City for first in the AL Central.

The job of keeping it going gets that much harder this week and for the following month for that matter. The only team on their schedule with a losing record in August is a three-game set with Minnesota, a team that’s been flirting with a winning record for most of the season.

Boston Red Sox is first up on the schedule and the Red Sox have had a rough time of it ever since a West Coast trip ten days ago. They’ve lost two of three in their last three series at the Angels and Mariners and them returning home to face the Royals. Their recent slide has coincided with the Yankees catching fire and as such they’ve now ceded first place in the AL East, a half game behind their rivals.

On Sunday the Royals won the rubber match 5-3 as Kansas City rallied for four runs in the eighth inning to clinch the win. Alex Gordon had the winning hit, a triple to plate the final two runs.

Since the All-Star break Cleveland is second averaging 5.47 RPG and second with a 3.16 ERA.

Boston is 11th averaging 3.69 RPG and third with a 3.18 ERA.

Mike Clevinger (5-3, 3.20 ERA) had his worst start in about seven weeks last time out, allowing six runs (five earned) in 4.1 innings against the Angels. Cleveland prevailed anyways, escaping with an 11-7 victory. Prior to that he’d allowed a total of five runs in his six previous starts spanning 33 innings (1.36 ERA). The Indians are 5-2 over his last seven games.

Doug Fister (0-5, 7.46 ERA) makes just his fifth start and eighth appearance for the Red Sox. He got into his first game this year on June 25th. He had two decent starts in June before the wheels came off in July. His ERA this month stands at 9.42 and his two starts this month have covered eight innings and he’s allowed 12 runs (10 earned) in the process. Fister’s last two appearances have come out of the bullpen. He gave up two runs in 2.2 innings against Seattle last time out and took the loss in a 6-5 decision.

 

Cash It In: Cleveland is -116 favorites, Boston -104 underdogs. Cleveland’s offense is cruising of late and they must be licking their chops to face a struggling Fister. Boston can’t hit a lick these days and are facing a power pitcher in Clevinger. But I figure Fister will be on a very short leash and in the topsy turvy world of baseball I like Boston’s chances to come up with a home win. Red Sox 5-4.

MLB Expert Picks and Parlays: Red Sox -104 &  Under 10½

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