MLB Vegas Odds & Predictions: Yankees vs Red Sox 08/18/17

MLB Picks and Parlays: Yankees and Red Sox Square Off in Boston Starting Friday

by @MattCashCapper

Vegas Odds by Bovada
Yankees  O/U 9
Red Sox -130

Drew Pomeranz

Last weekend the New York Yankees hosted Boston Red Sox and dropped two out of three games. That includes a tough 3-2 loss in the series finale where Boston tied it up in the ninth and won it in the tenth off of closer Aroldis Chapman.

But that didn’t seem to phase them too much as they played the Mets in the Subway series all week and were able to sweep the four-game home and home series. Each of the wins was by two runs or less.

After being close to the top of the league offensively for the first half of the season, its been the offense that has cooled off considerably in the second half. Aaron Judge seems to get all the headlines whether hitting towering home runs, or striking out a ton, but he’s had a lot of company in the struggling department.

The Yankees are averaging just 4.09 RPG in the second half which is third worst in the AL. Three regulars are hitting below .200, including Judge (.185-7-14), Jacoby Ellsbury (.174-2-10) and Matt Holliday (.136-1-4). Three others are hitting .230 or worse.

Boston has surged to the top of the AL and it’s the young kids and new additions garnering the headlines. Eduardo Nunez (.372-4-13) came over from the Giants at the deadline, Rafael Devers (.348-6-13) is the rookie third baseman and Andrew Benintendi (.280-5-16) has been hot all month. They’ve helped to solidify what’s been a shaky offense for much of the season.

Boston is averaging 4.74 since the break. Their pitching has been excellent as well with a 3.29 ERA.

The Yankees and their revamped bullpen have been tops with a 3.19 ERA since the break.

Jordan Montgomery (7-6, 3.94 ERA) seems to be back on track after a shaky period. He’s now allowed one run in three of four starts including each of his last two starts totaling 10.1 innings. Last time out against Boston he pitched 5.1 innings in a 3-2 loss. The Yankees have lost six of his last eight starts. They’ve scored just 12 runs in his last five starts and lost three of them.

Drew Pomeranz (12-9, 3.39 ERA) is pitching like he did when he was an All-Star in the first half last year for San Diego. He struggled when Boston got him at last year’s deadline, but that was then and this is now. He’s on a six game winnings streak and the Red Sox have won seven of his last nine starts. He beat the Yankees last time out, allowing three runs in 6.2 innings of 10-5 win. His ERA is 2.77 in two August starts.

 

Cash It In: Boston is -130 favorites and New York +110 underdogs. Both pitchers are throwing well, but beating the Mets four straight is not the same as playing a hot Boston team. I think the Red Sox will prevail here in a close one. Boston 4-2.

MLB Expert Picks and Parlays: Red Sox -130 &  Under 9

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