MLB Vegas Odds and Picks: Yankees vs Red Sox 07/16/17

MLB Picks and Parlays: New York and Boston Complete Four-Game Series on Sunday Night Baseball

by @MattCashCapper

Vegas Odds by Bovada
Yankees  O/U 8½
Red Sox -135

David Price

It’s quite possible that no team needed a break more than the New York Yankees. It must be hard having the spotlight shining so brightly on you all of the time, especially when there are so many young players being counted on to carry the torch. This is a team that surprised the baseball world with one of the hottest starts in the league. After more than two months of play they were flying high, on top of the AL East and competing with the Astros for the best record in the league.

But the wheels fell off after a disastrous west coast trip and the Yankees never really recovered. They went just 7-18 in their last 25 games including 2-6 in July. How quickly things turned from a team that could do no wrong, to one that had to learn how to win again.

Two games post All-Star break and this is looking more like the former than the latter. They’ve given Boston Red Sox a stiff test, losing 5-4 on Friday after Aroldis Chapman gave up two runs in the bottom of the ninth. The tying run came home on an error and the winning run scored on a bases loaded walk. That’s not how they wanted things to end, but they managed to return the favor on Saturday.

The Yankees overcame a masterful performance by Chris Sale who fired 13 strikeouts and gave up three hits in 7.2 innings of work while holding onto a 1-0 lead. But Matt Holiday led off the ninth with a home run off the practically unhittable Craig Kimbrel to tie it. The bullpen was phenomenal until the Yankees scored three in the 16th to win it.

Now the teams will play two games on Sunday, with the nightcap coming on Sunday Night Baseball.

Masahiro Tanaka (7-8, 5.47 ERA) has really struggled this year. Once the Yankees ace, he’s been their worst starter in 2017. His ERA ballooned all the way to 6.34 in mid-June and his 23 home runs allowed is second worst in the AL. But he came back with three straight strong starts, allowing three runs in 21 innings of work and the Yankees won all three. He fell back to Earth though in his last start allowing five runs in 4.1 innings of a 5-3 loss to the Brewers.

David Price (4-2, 3.91 ERA) is now nine starts into his season and he’s looked a lot sharper of late as he comes back from arm troubles. He’s had four straight quality starts, allowing eight earned runs in 25 innings of work, striking out 26 and walking just five. The Red Sox are 4-2 in his last six starts.

 

Cash It In: Boston are at -135 New York +115. Look for another tightly contested game, but the Price of old seems to be rounding into form and that gives the Red Sox (-142) the edge in this one. Boston 4-2.

MLB Expert Picks and Parlays: Boston -135 &  Under 8½

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