MLS Vegas Odds and Picks: Battle of New York is Sunday as FC Battles the Red Bulls in MLS Action
by Matt Cash @MattCashCapper
The last time the two New York teams faced off at the end of June the Red Bulls were slumping all the way to the point that their playoff spot was in jeopardy. And FC won going away with an impressive 2-0 victory. My how things have changed in the past four weeks.
Now, just two points separate these teams in the standings with FC in third place and the Red Bulls in fourth and with one game in hand.
New York City FC went 1-1-2 in July. That last loss was especially humbling, falling 4-0 to first place Toronto FC last Sunday. It was reminiscent of last year’s 5-0 thumping when these two teams faced off in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Sebastian Giovinco was unstoppable on that day and he was at it again last week scoring the 49th and 50th goals of his illustrious MLS career.
One key difference from last week is that their star 19-year old midfielder –Yangel Herrera– is returning from suspension and should be back in the starting lineup.
The NY Red Bulls in the meanwhile are playing their finest soccer of the season over the past four weeks. They’ve won each game and they just seem to be getting stronger each week. Head coach Jesse Marsch implemented a three-man backline and put several of his starters into different positions and their opponents are scrambling to figure out how to stop them.
The Red Bulls have scored 15 goals in their last four games after scoring 17 total in their first 17 of the season. They’ve also conceded just three over the same period including two straight shut outs. The last one was a 4-0 home win over the Montreal Impact. Daniel Royer led the way with two goals and Bradley Wright-Phillips scored his 80th career goal in MLS. Royer led MLS with six goals on the month.
Two interesting stats jump out about this game. One is that in the past two years NYFC is one of only two teams to average at least two goals a game at home. The other is that in their three-year existence they’ve now conceded four goals in a regular season game four times and two of them have come against the Red Bulls.
Cash It In: NYFC are -110 favorites, the Red Bulls +275 underdogs and the draw is at +270. The Red Bulls are getting excellent odds for the hottest team in the league. They have a history of playing their rivals well and I like their chances for a victory here. Red Bulls 3-1.