Action Report: Bettors initially split in Duke-MSU, but late money on Blue Devils



With the highly-anticipated first Final Four matchup of Saturday between Michigan State and Duke drawing closer, sports books are receiving no shortage of action.

At Pinnacle Sports, 54 percent of spread bets are on the Spartans +5. It’s dead even on the moneyline, with 50 percent of the betting public on each side.

Total-wise, 58 percent of bets are on the game going above the 138 number.

Covers spoke to a source from Pinnacle Sports about the market movement as tip-off approaches.

“Earlier today, Michigan State had a 53 percent BetShare in both our spread and moneyline markets and it’s interesting to see a shift in opposite directions since then,” the source said. “The trend suggests the public sees this game being a close one, with the five points State starts with enough to make them popular even though their seeding suggests they’ll ultimately lose to the No. 1 ranked Blue Devils.”

“Duke -5 opened at -104 and is now -110, but in between then we saw that price go as high as +101,” said the Pinnacle source. “We did see a big jump at one point today where the Blue Devils went from -107 to -115, but the market corrected after that, as it has through its duration.”

“The Over 138 points opened on March 30th at -115 and immediately went to -128, but it’s gone the opposite direction since. Presently, the price on Over is -107 – the best we’ve offered over the course of the market.”

Like Pinnacle, was getting split action for the majority of the week. Since Friday, however, it’s been all Duke money.

“We were pretty much split down the middle on this game on Friday at noon EST, as 52 percent of bets were on Duke,” said Mike Jerome, a Top Bet oddsmaker.

“Since then, about 72 percent of bets have been on the Blue Devils.”


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