Bettors should jump on Marshall now – 10-20-2014



Each week during the college football season, Covers
Expert Steve Merril looks at the NCAAF odds and tells you which
spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to
watch as the week plays out.

Spread to bet now

Marshall -28 vs. Florida Atlantic

Marshall opened as a 26-point home favorite over Florida
Atlantic, and the line quickly moved up to -28. The
Thundering Herd are a perfect 7-0 SU on the season, and they
need all the style points they can in order for a remote shot
at getting into the 4-team playoff discussion.

Florida Atlantic has been awful on the road this
season.  The Owls are 0-4 SU with three of their losses
coming by 48, 41, and 28 point margins. Marshall has a potent
offense that is averaging 47.4 points per game on an
incredible 7.8 yards per play this year. Knowing they need to
win by big margins, laying the 28 points now with Marshall
would be a prudent move by bettors.

Spread to wait on

Tennessee +17 (vs. Alabama)

This line came out with Alabama as a 16-point road favorite
at Tennessee, and most sports books have already moved this
game up to -17/-17.5 after early money came in on the Crimson
Tide. This line will likely go higher once the public gets

Alabama comes in off a 59-0 win over Texas A&M while
Tennessee enters off a 34-3 blowout loss as 16-point
underdogs at Mississippi. Both teams played the Rebels and
lost, yet Alabama is  laying more points into the Vols
despite playing on the road. The value will be on the home
dog in this game, especially closer to kick off.

Total to watch

Vanderbilt at Missouri

Vanderbilt and Missouri have two of the worst offenses in the
country this season. The Commodores are only averaging 17.6
points per game on just 4.7 yards per play. The Tigers are
only averaging 5.1 yards per play despite scoring 30.7 points
per game.  Those numbers are not in line with each
other, and represent Missouri’s fortune of scoring on short
drives, defense, and special teams.

Both teams also possess decent enough defenses to stifle the
opposing offense. Vanderbilt is allowing 5.7 yards per play
versus offenses averaging 6.0 yards per play. Missouri has
even better numbers, allowing 4.7 yards per play versus
opponents averaging 5.9 yards per play.  If this total
comes out at 45 or higher, there will be value with the


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