Bracketology Bubble Tracker: Michigan out of the bracket for now

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Michigan has fallen off the bracket for now. The Wolverines lost at home to Iowa 71-61 on Saturday to fall to 3-9 against the top 50, 3-11 against the top 100 and 10-11 against the top 200.


Jerry Palm’s projected bracket

Those are all bad numbers. Michigan will have a lot of work to do in Indianapolis at the Big Ten tournament.

MICHIGAN: L 71-61 vs. Iowa

Status: On the fence

Record: 20-11, 10-8 Big Ten | RPI: 59 | Strength of schedule: 58


SYRACUSE: L 78-73 at Florida State
Status: Probably in
Record: 19-12, 9-9 ACC | RPI: 57 | Strength of schedule: 36

Syracuse will enter the ACC tournament having lost four of its past five games. The worst of those losses came Saturday at Florida State. The Orange are below .500 against the top 50 and top 100 and have three bad losses. They will have work to do in the conference tournament to feel comfortable on Selection Sunday.

TULSA: W 84-74 vs. South Florida
Status: On the fence
Record: 21-10, 13-6 AAC | RPI: 42 | Strength of schedule: 43

Tulsa got more of a fight than you would expect from South Florida, but the Golden Hurricane held on for an 84-74 win. Tulsa will enter the American Athletic Conference tournament with more work to do.

GEORGE WASHINGTON: L 87-80 at Davidson
Status: Probably out
Record: 22-9, 11-7 Atlantic 10 | RPI: 60 | Strength of schedule: 107

The Colonials lost at Davidson 87-80 to sink further down the bubble. Despite home wins over Virginia and Seton Hall, George Washington hasn’t done enough to overcome some bad losses and a relatively weak nonconference schedule.

VCU: L 68-67 at Dayton
Status: On the fence
Record: 22-9, 14-4 Atlantic 10 | RPI: 44 | Strength of schedule: 81

VCU had Dayton beat twice and couldn’t put the game away. The Rams lost 68-67 in overtime and lost the game at the free-throw line, where they were 14 of 27. It’s a lost opportunity for the Rams, who really could use a higher-quality win. By the time they get one in the conference tournament, they will have won it. They could still get in without it.

ST. BONAVENTURE: W 76-67 at Saint Louis
Status: On the fence
Record: 22-7, 14-4 Atlantic 10 | RPI: 28 | Strength of schedule: 78

The Bonnies did what they needed to do at Saint Louis and beat the Billikens 76-67. St. Bonaventure may get a share of the conference title, but regardless, by simply not losing, the Bonnies improved their tournament prospects as so many others lost.

BUTLER: W 95-74 vs. Marquette
Status: Probably in
Record: 21-9, 10-8 Big East | RPI: 46 | Strength of schedule: 64

Butler dominated Marquette 95-74 to finish the season on a three-game winning streak. Butler is 4-7 against the top 50 and 6-8 vs. the top 100, but only have one bad loss. They need to make sure that last part doesn’t change in the conference tournament.

ALABAMA: L 70-63 at Georgia
Status: Probably out
Record: 17-13, 8-10 SEC | RPI: 69 | Strength of schedule: 34

Alabama has lost four of five, including two bad losses at home. This looked like a potential tournament team three weeks ago. That’s gone now.

FLORIDA: W 82-72 at Missouri
Status: Probably out
Record: 18-13, 9-9 SEC | RPI: 56 | Strength of schedule: 11

The Gators won at Missouri 82-72 to keep their slim hopes alive. They are the No. 8 seed in the SEC tournament and open with Arkansas. After that, they get a shot at Texas A&M and a shot at reviving their tournament hopes.

VANDERBILT: L 76-67 at Texas A&M
Status: On the fence
Record: 19-12, 11-7 SEC | RPI: 47 | Strength of schedule: 40

Vanderbilt took another loss to a top-50 RPI team and another loss on the road in a 76-67 defeat at the hands of Texas A&M. The Commodores drop to 2-7 against the top 50 and their only win away from home against anyone in the top 100 came at Florida. The two top-50 wins came against Kentucky and the Aggies, so that’s good. However, they also have four losses to teams unlikely to make the tournament, including two bad ones.

SOUTH CAROLINA: W 76-61 at Arkansas
Status: Probably in
Record: 24-7, 11-7 SEC | RPI: 58 | Strength of schedule: 124

South Carolina picked up an important 76-61 win at Arkansas on Saturday to end a stretch where they lost four out of six games. The Gamecocks have three bad losses and a poor nonconference strength of schedule, but if they can avoid another bad loss, they will probably find a way in.

Status: Probably in
Record: 18-11, 9-9 Pac-12 | RPI: 34| Strength of schedule: 4

The Beavers led by 16 with 5:21 to go and almost blew all of that lead. UCLA cut it to one late, but a Gary Payton II windmill jam sealed an 86-82 win. That’s a huge win for Oregon State, which pushes their record to 17-11 overall. It’s also their fourth road win, although the Beavers haven’t beaten a tournament-quality team away from home. They’ll get a chance in the conference tournament.

WICHITA STATE: L 57-52 (OT) vs. Northern Iowa
Status: Probably out
Record: 24-9, 16-3 MVC | RPI: 38 | Strength of schedule: 107

The Shockers fell to UNI for the second time this season 57-52 in overtime in the semifinals of the Missouri Valley conference tournament. Wichita State has one moment of glory this season — a home win over Utah. That is their only win against a team in the top 75 of the RPI. Their at-large chances are slim-to-none, and if this wasn’t a team with a recent Final Four run and undefeated regular season, I doubt we’d be talking about them at all.

Michigan is one of the last four teams in the field of 68. (USATSI)
Michigan is one of the last four teams in the field of 68. (USATSI)


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