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Steve Merril: Second Half + OT is higher scoring (vs. first Half)
The first quarter has been low scoring and the fourth quarter has been high scoring over the past decade of Super Bowls, which gives this prop value. We often get more points scored late in the game as the trailing team begins to press and makes mistakes which often leads to defensive scores, etc.
The Patriots rank third with 14.2 ppg scored in the second half, while the Seahawks rank eighth with 13.5 ppg scored in the second half. Another small edge is the fact overtime is more likely with two evenly matched teams. While overtime has never occurred in a Super Bowl, this year it is a bit more likely with a pick’em point spread.
Check back tomorrow for the latest Super Bowl prop pick of the day.