Does HBO’s ‘Hard Knocks’ make the featured team a bad NFL bet?


USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Rams will be featured in HBO’s NFL reality series “Hard Knocks” this upcoming season. Because, you know, it’s Los Angeles.

While being featured on the show, which follows a team through training camp and preseason action, hasn’t necessarily been a death sentence for previous franchises, Rams bettors should be cautious heading into the new season.

The past 10 teams featured on “Hard Knocks” haven’t fared all that well in the regular season, combining to go 82-78 straight up and 79-77-4 against the spread, including a 3-6-1 ATS mark in Week 1 of the schedule (33 percent). They’ve also gone a collective 17-22 SU and 14-21 ATS in the preseason with the HBO cameras rolling.

According to Covers Expert Marc Lawrence, however, “Hard Knocks” teams are 22-18 SU and 21-16-3 ATS through the first four weeks of the regular season, boasting a 13-7-2 ATS record as underdogs and are 10-1-1 ATS coming off a loss in that span.

Last year’s featured team, the Houston Texas, were pretty much split when it came to their “Hard Knocks” fortunes. Houston went 2-2 SU and ATS in the preseason as well as the regular season and went 9-7 SU and ATS in the regular season. However, the Texans began the season going 1-3 SU and ATS and took a 27-20 loss at home as 1-point underdog against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 1. The Texans were 0-3 ATS as underdogs in the first four games.

Here’s a look at the past 10 teams featured on HBO’s “Hard Knocks” and their betting records:

2001 Baltimore Ravens: 10-6 SU, 8-7-1 ATS/ 1-2 SU and ATS preseason
2002 Dallas Cowboys: 5-11 SU, 7-8-1 ATS/ 3-1 SU and ATS preseason
2007 Kansas City Chiefs: 4-12 SU, 7-8-1 ATS/ 0-4 SU and ATS preseason
2008 Dallas Cowboys: 9-7 SU, 7-9 ATS/ 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS preseason
2009 Cincinnati Bengals: 10-6 SU, 7-9 ATS/ 2-2 SU and ATS preseason
2010 New York Jets: 11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS/ 2-2 SU and ATS preseason
2012 Miami Dolphins: 7-9 SU, 8-8 ATS/ 0-4 SU and ATS preseason
2013 Cincinnati Bengals: 11-5 SU, 10-5-1 ATS/3-1 SU and ATS preseason
2014 Atlanta Falcons: 6-10 SU, 7-9 ATS/2-2 SU and ATS preseason
2015 Houston Texans: 9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS/2-2 SU and ATS preseason

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