Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.
Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the PLAYERS Championship.
For a full breakdown of the tournament, click here.
Odds courtesy of Bovada.
Rory McIlroy (+1000)
McIlroy has been quietly red-hot of late, finishing in the top seven in three of his last four PGA Tour starts. The four-time major champ has fared extremely well at TPC Sawgrass, collecting three top 10s and a T-12 in the last four years to produce a 70.06 scoring average. He hasn’t been able to produce a victory yet, but it’s only a matter of time before that happens.
The Northern Irishman is in a good place right now after recently getting married (but for real this time) in Europe. The +1000 price isn’t great and the field is ridiculously deep, but I’m more than comfortable backing him in Florida.
Rickie Fowler (+2000)
Golf bettors will likely fade Fowler this weekend due to his sporadic performances at the PLAYERS Championship (missed cuts in 2010, 2011, 2013 and 2016), but it’s important to remember he won here in 2015 and was a runner-up in 2012.
I’m not putting much stock into those past failures, though. This is a man who’s on the verge of making the leap into the top tier of the Tour, and he’s produced top-16 finishes in his previous six starts, including a triumph at the Honda Classic and a T-11 at the Masters. Those orange pants must have special powers after all.
Martin Kaymer (+5500)
In the wake of Kaymer’s 39th-place result a year ago, his record of eight made cuts at the PLAYERS continued. The German won the whole thing in 2014 where he tied the course record of 63. His round average of 71.16 is sparking – a number that’s better than big names like Sergio Garcia, Henrik Stenson and Zach Johnson.
Past history at Sawgrass aside, Kaymer has been sneakily hot recently after making every cut this season and placing 16th at the Masters. He doesn’t have the same star power as the other two golfers I’ve already mentioned, but don’t let that blind you when making your selections. Kaymer might be the best value pick on the board at +5500 odds.