Falcons vs Packers: Week 14 Monday Pick


The Green Bay Packers are 5-0 ATS last 5 games as home favorites with an average margin of victory 26.4 points, so 13 or 14 points here against the Falcons should be a piece of cake?

The Pack won but couldn’t pull off a cover against the Atlanta Falcons last season as those two NFC division leaders prepare to meet at Lambeau Field for Monday Night Football in Week 14.

The Packers beat the Falcons 22-21 when the teams met last December but still got tagged with an ATS loss as a 3.5-point home favorite on the betting lines in that UNDER result. Green Bay enters the week atop the NFC North at 9-3 SU and 7-4-1 ATS on the season, while Atlanta remains in the turtle race for top spot in the NFC South standings with records of 5-7 both SU and ATS through a dozen games this year.

The Falcons however are on a 4-0 ATS run as double-digit dogs. This is just third time since 2002 have gotten this many points (13).

The Packers have lost three of past four Monday Nighters, while the Falcons are 2-8 ATS last 10 games as road underdogs (0-10 SU).

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers Opening Odds and Betting Line

The Atlanta Falcons betting odds line opened as 10.5-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at Odds – VSB
but had climbed to 13 points at Bodog), while the total was hovering around 56 at most shops.

Computer Prediction: Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers Pick

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 38-26 result in favor of the Packers. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers Odds and Stats.

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Supporters of the Atlanta Falcons have seen them go 5-7 and 5-7 ATS so far this season, while the Green Bay Packers are at 9-3 and 7-4-1 ATS. In totals betting, the Packers are 9-3, while the Falcons are 5-7. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Green Bay vs Atlanta injuries news.

It’s a betting matchup between the No. 1-rated Green Bay Packers and the No. 16-ranked Atlanta Falcons, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds – VSB

How Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers Stats Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Green Bay Packers No. 2-ranked offense (31.67 PPG) against a Atlanta Falcons defense that ranks No. 22 at 24.92 PPG. The Packers passing attack has averaged 269 yards per game, less than the Falcons give up through the air (284.33 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Atlanta Falcons own the league’s No. 30-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 142.67 yards per game when on the road. Green Bay, on the other hand, rates No. 12 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Matt Ryan led the way last time out for the Falcons, connecting for 361 passing yards and a 29-18 victory over the Cardinals at Georgia Dome.

In Green Bay’s last outing, Aaron Rodgers threw for 368 yards to lead the Packers over New England 26-21 at Lambeau Field.

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers Betting Odds Trends

Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 8 games
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Green Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay’s last 9 games
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Atlanta home to Pittsburgh, Sunday, December 14th
Green Bay at Buffalo, Sunday, December 14th

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