Florida State at Louisville – 10-29-2014

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Florida State Seminoles at Louisville Cardinals (+4.5,
50.5)

One year after averaging a margin of victory of 39.5 points en
route to a national title, No. 2 Florida State has proven it
also can handle itself in tighter contests. The Seminoles, who
hope to extend their winning streak to 24 games on Thursday at
Louisville, have rallied from second-half deficits three times
in 2014. Florida State edged then-No. 5 Notre Dame 31-27 on
Oct. 18 after the Fighting Irish were called for offensive pass
interference on a potential game-winning score in the final
seconds.

The Seminoles haven’t come close to matching last season’s
dominance – winning three of their contests by six points or
fewer, including one in overtime – and could see their
school-record streak snapped with another slow start against
the Cardinals. Louisville leads FBS in total defense (243.8
yards) and ranks fourth overall in scoring defense (14.6
points). The Cardinals, who have held each of their six
conference foes under their season scoring average, are coming
off a 30-18 victory over North Carolina State on Oct. 18 and
have won 22 in a row at home under coach Bobby Petrino.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Noles as
6.5-point road faves, but that has moved to 4.5. The total
opened 50.5.

INJURY REPORT: Seminoles – DB Trey Marshall
(Questionable, concussion), DT Demarcus Christmas
(Questionable, ankle), QB Sean Maguire (Questionable, hand), RB
Mario Pender (Doubtful, ankle).

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-50s
with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing across the field at 3
mph. There is a small 11 percent chance of rain.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: “Last tough test for the
defending national champions who will need to bring their ‘A’
game against the Cardinals top-ranked defense. Plenty of
hurdles for FSU to overcome here. The off-field distractions
won’t help chances and Louisville’s 24-7 ATS mark against the
ACC games makes laying points difficult. But if anyone can
overcome obstacles it’s certainly QB Jameis Winston.”
Covers
Expert Marc Lawrence.

WHAT BOOKS SAY:
“As I stated in the opening line
report, the home team is a very live dog here. Sharps have been
all over Louisville, moving the spread from +7 to +4. We’ll
probably see some money come back on the Noles closer to
kickoff so I doubt this gets to +3. The total has remained
pretty constant and we’ve got decent two-way action on it.”
John Lester,
BookMaker.eu.

CHEERLEADER WAR:

ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (7-0 SU, 4-0 SU ACC, 1-6 ATS, 3-4
O/U):
The Tallahassee Police Department announced on
Monday that it is investigating Karlos Williams – the team’s
leading rusher – for an alleged domestic assault. Rashad
Greene, who leads the conference in receptions (52) and
receiving yards (791), needs seven more catches to pass former
Wake Forest receiver Michael Campanaro (229 from 2010-13) for
fifth place on the conference’s all-time list. Reigning Heisman
Trophy winner Jameis Winston became the first FBS quarterback
since 2000 to begin his collegiate career 20-0 as a starter
following the Seminoles’ win over Notre Dame.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (6-2 SU, 4-2 SU ACC, 5-3 ATS, 1-6-1
O/U):
DeVante Parker, who had yet to play due to an
August toe injury after leading the Cardinals in receiving last
season, tied a personal best with nine catches for 132 yards in
his season debut versus the Wolfpack. Former Auburn star and
2011 BCS championship game offensive MVP Michael Dyer enjoyed
his finest effort with Louisville, posting career highs of 24
carries and 181 total yards. Linebacker Lorenzo Mauldin
(hamstring) and receiver James Quick (ankle) left the
Cardinals’ last victory and did not return, but both are
expected to play versus the Seminoles.

TWEET BEAT:



TRENDS:

* Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
* Under is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last seven conference games.
* Cardinals are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last seven conference games.

COVERS CONSENSUS:
According to Covers Consensus, 62
percent of bets are supporting the visiting Seminoles.

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