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Game to bet now
Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys (pick)
Greg Hardy is going up against his old team, and will be ramming his body into the Panthers’ left tackle 30 or more times. What are the chances he keeps his cool in this one? Hardy says it’s just another game, but no one believes anything he says, anyway.
On the surface, this seems like easy pickings for the 10-0 Panthers, even if Dallas has Tony Romo back calling signals. Dallas is 3-7 and only owner/GM-for-life Jerry Jones thinks his team has a chance of getting into the playoffs. One more loss should just about end that fantasy, and by a 2-1 margin early bettors believe that Carolina will deliver that defeat.
Game to wait on
Pittsburgh Steelers at Seattle Seahawks (-5)
Week 12 is upon us, and in the AFC the Steelers are one of just four AFC to have six wins. Pittsburgh is a solid 6-3-1 ATS this season but now starts a stretch of four tough games (Seattle, Indianapolis, Cincinnati, Denver). The Steelers have the advantage of having their bye week before dealing with a cross country flight and the crazy atmosphere in Seattle.
The problem with jumping quickly is the awkward 5-point line – down from 5.5 at opening – which has been driven down by heavy money on the Steelers, perhaps due to the Seahawks’ inability to cover (3-6-1 ATS) this season.
Total to watch
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (47.5)
Everyone in Wisconsin can exhale now after Aaron Rodgers and the Packers put 30 points on the board in a surprisingly easy win at Minnesota. Best of all, Green Bay finally seems to have the semblance of a running game now that Eddie Lacy has emerged from the witness protection program.
Lacy had 100 yards against the Vikings, and if he can put similar numbers up against the Bears, it will make life much easier for Rodgers. The Over deserves a look here, based on Green Bay’s awakened offense, Chicago’s tendency to turn over the ball, and the Bears’ awful defensive play in division games this season (30 ppg allowed in NFC North games).