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New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (+1.5)
Based on what we’ve seen of the Dolphins this season, it’s hard to believe that Miami was actually a slight favorite in this one before early action flipped the line. The Dolphins are one of several NFL dumpster fires this season, and one more mail-it-in performance – especially at home – figures to cost Joe Philbin his job.
It’s hard to see how Miami moves the ball in this one against a solid Jets defense that has given up the fewest points in the AFC through three games this season. New York is one bad quarter (21 given up to the Eagles in the second period) away from being 3-0 and the surprise team of the league.
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Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (+8.5)
This one could get ugly, and the seven in 10 fans laying money on the Packers in early wagering could push this one up even more. The 49ers defense actually looked decent in winning the opener at home (against Minnesota), but that has been followed by two crushing losses in which San Francisco allowed a total of 90 points (43 to Pittsburgh, 47 to Arizona). The Niners seem incapable of coming even close to stopping any team with a half-decent offense, so it should be interesting what it can do against the Packers.
Total to watch
St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals (42)
The Cardinals are off and running with dominant wins over the Saints, Bears and 49ers. None of those three figure to sniff of the playoffs this season, but the Cardinals still like the way the offense is humming – even if QB Carson Palmer is a little long in the tooth and may not go the full 16 games.
Granted, the Rams are dead last in the league in offense and have only 16 total points in the last two games. But St. Louis is reportedly planning some new wrinkles on offense to kick-start what has so far been an unimaginative offense, so 42 looks easily attainable in this one.