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Green Bay Packets at Denver Broncos (+2.5)
The half point hook below a field goal makes this an attractive number for Packers backers as two of the NFL’s remaining undefeated teams go at it this Sunday night in Denver. Heavy early money has flowed in on the 6-0 Packers, as bettors no doubt believe that Green Bay has a decided advantage at the quarterback position after several lackluster performances from Peyton Manning.
Manning has dropped like a stone in key offensive categories, and now ranks 17th in passing yards, 26th in TD passes and is a stunning 31st (only Ryan Mallett is worse) in QB rating. There is a widespread belief league-wide that the Broncos are 6-0 despite Manning, not because of him.
In fact, the Broncos are only a handful of plays from being 1-5. Green Bay, meanwhile, is a solid 5-1 ATS. Both teams are coming off their bye week.
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Indianapolis Colts at Carolina Panthers (-6.5)
No reason to jump here, especially if you’re among the dwindling number of bettors who have not yet given up on the Colts. Heavy action on the Panthers might be enough to push the line to seven, especially for bettors who don’t mind shopping around.
Indianapolis’ second-half comeback last Sunday at home against the Saints gave Colts backers something to hang their hats on, even as they embark on a nasty three-game schedule: at Carolina, home versus Denver, and at Atlanta.
Total to watch
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (51.5)
Over bettors have cashed handsomely (both are 4-2 O/U) on these AFC East teams this year. New England’s offense has been devastating at home and the 51 points the Patriots scored against Jacksonville were not even as impressive as the 30 they put up on the Jets’ best-in-the-NFL defense last Sunday.
Miami has seemed to come alive offensively, and should be able to move the ball against a New England defense that is always willing to give up yards for clock when ahead in the game. The last time the teams played in Gillette Stadium, the Pats won 41-13. This could be a similar result.
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