Fresno State at New Mexico – 09-25-2014

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Fresno State Bulldogs at New Mexico Lobos
(+5, 71.5)

 
The Fresno State Bulldogs know exactly what to expect from
the New Mexico Lobos on Friday night: a whole lot of running
plays. The Lobos look to build on a spectacular rushing
performance last week against New Mexico State as they entertain
the Bulldogs in the Mountain West Conference opener for both
teams. New Mexico earned its first victory of the season in
style, racking up 432 yards on 52 carries to earn a thrilling
38-35 victory over the rival Aggies.

Fresno State finally got its act together following three
straight one-sided losses, riding a pair of Brian Burrell
touchdown passes and 117 rushing yards and a score from Marteze
Waller to a 56-16 drubbing of Southern Utah. It was an
impressive all-around performance for the Bulldogs, who had
surrendered at least 50 points in each of their first three
games. New Mexico will be seeking revenge after dropping a
humiliating 69-28 decision to Fresno State last Nov. 23.

TV:
8 p.m. ET, ESPN2

LINE HISTORY:
 The line has dropped one point
after opening at New Mexico +6. The over/under has slipped two
points to 71.

INJURY REPORT:
 Fresno State: WR
Dillon Root (leg) is probable; DB Shannon Edwards (shoulder) is
questionable; RB Malique Micenheimer (shoulder), RB Dontel
James (leg) and RB Kurt Scoby (concussion) are out. New
Mexico
: WR Carlos Wiggins (hamstring), QB Cole
Gautsche (hamstring), Teriyon Gipson (ankle) and QB Caleb
Kimbro (knee) are questionable; DE Nik D’Avanzo (knee) is
doubtful; OL Aaron Jenkins (shoulder), OT Johnny Vizcaino
(concussion), LB Richard Winston (knee) and S Daniel Henry
(shoulder) are out.

WEATHER: Rain is in the forecast for
University Stadium with temperatures expected to be in the
mid-80s.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Fresno State
(+6.7) – New Mexico (+3.2) + home field (-3.0) = New Mexico
-6.5

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: “After a 0-3 SU/ATS
start to the season, Fresno State took their frustrations out
on a weaker FCS Southern Utah team last Saturday with an easy
56-16 win.  However, Fresno State was not impressive in
their three FBS games this year, allowing 52, 59, and 55 points
defensively each time.  The Bulldogs are obviously down
this season after losing six starters on offense, including QB
Derek Carr.  However, the defense did return eight
starters and their top six tacklers from last season, so no
excuse for the horrendous start this month.  A huge line
adjustment from last year’s game when Fresno State was a -34.5
point favorite and won easily 69-28 with an incredible 822-316
total yard edge.” Covers Expert Steve Merril

CHEERLEADER WAR: 

ABOUT FRESNO STATE (1-3 SU, 4-0 O/U): The
Bulldogs meant business against Southern Utah, racking up 680
yards of total offense while scoring all of their points over
the final three quarters. Five different Fresno State players
have at least 100 receiving yards – led by Josh harper’s 24
catches for 280 yards and a score – while Waller leads the
ground attack with 294 rushing yards and three touchdowns.
Burrell was one of the lone bright spots for the team over its
first three games and has five touchdowns against just two
interceptions so far in 2014.
 
ABOUT NEW MEXICO (1-2 SU, 2-1 O/U): The
biggest problem for opposing teams is not knowing which Lobos
rushing threat to contain. Quarterback Cole Gautsche (20
carries, 237 yards, two touchdowns) and running back Teriyon
Gipson (35 carries, 194 yards, one TD) may miss the game with
leg injuries, but Jhurrell Pressley (215 yards, two TDs) and
Crusoe Gongbay (173 yards, two TDs) should be available to pick
up the slack. New Mexico has attempted just 34 passes on the
year, completing 20 of them for 264 yards and three scores.
  
TWEET BEAT:



TRENDS:

* Fresno State is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following
an ATS win.
* New Mexico is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 September
games.
* Over is 9-1 in the Lobos’ last 10 games on
grass.
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four
meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS:
 62.4% of Covers voters are
betting on visiting Fresno State.

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