Friday’s NCAAF Game of the Day: UNLV at Boise State

UNLV Rebels at No. 20 Boise State Broncos (-28, 66)

No. 23 Boise State received some much-needed help from UNLV last Saturday but the Broncos figure to have a short memory when they host the Rebels on Friday night. UNLV posted a 69-66 triple-overtime victory over Wyoming and that outcome revitalized Boise State’s odds of reaching the Mountain West conference title game and landing a possible Cotton Bowl bid.

The Broncos lost to Wyoming earlier this season and need to finish ahead of the Cowboys to win the Mountain Division. The two teams are currently tied thanks to UNLV’s victory that featured the third-highest point total in FBS history but Boise State coach Bryan Harsin isn’t interested in discussing anything but Friday’s game versus the Rebels. 

“We don’t feel we control anything until the end of the year, so we have UNLV and that’s really it,” Harsin told reporters. “The talk again is going to be about all this stuff we can’t control. If we eat that up, then we’re going to put ourselves in a really bad position. We have UNLV, that’s it.” The Rebels suffered a blow during their impressive victory when standout junior receiver Devonte Boyd was lost for the season with a broken left arm.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN2. 

LINE HISTORY: The Broncos opened as massive 27-point him favorites but that spread was not large enough for bettors as, the line was quickly pushed up to 28.  The total hit the board at 66 and has yet to move.  Check out the complete line history here. 

INJURY REPORT

UNLV – QB Johnny Stanton (questionable, knee), RB Lexington Thomas (doubtful, ankle), WR Devonte Boyd (out for season, arm)

Boise State – No injuries to report

WEATHER REPORT: The playing conditions at Albertsons Stadium are expected to be favorable, with partly cloudy skies expected and temperatures in the low 40s at kickoff.  Winds will blow out of the southeast at 7mph.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: ‘We opened Boise State as a huge 27 point favourite earlier in the week and it was quickly bet up to our current number of Boise State -28 with 70% of the action on Boise St. to cover.’ – Michael Stewart of CarbonSports.ag.

CHEERLEADER WAR:

ABOUT UNLV (4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS, 8-2 O/U) The Rebels rolled up 401 rushing yards against Wyoming and their 653 yards of total offense was the second most in school history. Junior quarterback Kurt Palandech was outstanding in his first start of the season by accounting for four touchdowns (three passing, one rushing) and he also set career highs of 252 passing yards and 157 on the ground. The defense has been nicked for an average of 35.4 points per game but features a couple good players in senior cornerback Torry McTyer (three interceptions) and senior weak-side linebacker Tau Lotulelei (96 tackles).

ABOUT Boise State 9-1 SU, 3-7 ATS, 4-6 O/U) UNLV intends to run the ball a lot and that could pose a problem for the Broncos, who allowed 217 rushing yards to San Jose State on Nov. 4 and a whopping 382 to New Mexico earlier in the campaign. Boise State is pretty good at running the ball with junior Jeremy McNichols ranking fifth nationally with 1,369 rushing yards and first in the nation with 22 touchdowns (18 rushing, four receiving). Sophomore quarterback Brett Rypien has passed for 2,916 yards and 22 touchdowns, while senior Thomas Sperbeck (62 catches for 1,023 yards) and junior Cedrick Wilson (44 for 827) have both corralled nine touchdown receptions.

TRENDS:

* Over is 11-1 in Rebels last 12 games in November
* Over is 21-5 in Rebels last 26 games overall.
* Over is 6-0 in Broncos last 6 Friday games.
* Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 56 percent of Covers users are taking the home favorite while 68 percent of total bets are on the over.  


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