The Seattle Seahawks are showing the form that carried them to a Super Bowl title last season and that spells bad news for the San Francisco 49ers, who are teetering on the edge of playoff elimination. The Seahawks go for their fourth straight victory when they host the 49ers on Sunday in the second meeting between the NFC West rivals in 18 days. Seattle has permitted 20 points over its past three, including a 19-3 win at San Francisco.
The 49ers had won three in a row before they were limited to 164 yards by the Seahawks on Thanksgiving night and followed that up by laying an egg in last week’s 24-13 loss at lowly Oakland, dropping two games behind Seattle and two other clubs for the final two playoff slots in the NFC. A loss could KO the playoff hopes of San Francisco, which is expected to part ways with coach Jim Harbaugh after the season. “Sometimes they don’t see the magic that guys have,” Seattle coach Pete Carroll said of the reported rift between Harbaugh and team management. “I think he’s fantastic football coach. He’s proven that. There’s no question about that.”
TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.
LINE HISTORY: After opening at Seattle -9.5 at most books, the total has shifted to -10. The total opened at a low 38.5, but has still dropped to 38.
INJURY REPORT: 49ers – G Mike Iupati (Ques-Elbow), C Marcus Martin (Ques-Knee), WR Stevie Johnson (Out-Knee) Seahawks – C Max Unger (Ques-Ankle),
WEATHER FORECAST: Skies are expected to be clear with temperatures between 42°F and 47°F. Winds are expected to be blowing throughout the game between 9 mph and 11 mph.
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: “These are obviously two teams heading in opposite directions as the Seahawks enter on a 3-0 SU/ATS run, while the 49ers are just 1-2 SU (0-3 ATS) in their past three games. The oddsmakers have been forced to drastically adjust the pointspread as this line is now 11 points higher than when these two teams played on Thanksgiving night just two weeks ago. Seattle was a +1 point road underdog in that November 27th game and the look-ahead line this summer had the Seahawks -3.5 for this game in Seattle. While the line is definitely inflated based on recent results, it is hard to know which San Francisco team will show up as it appears head coach John Harbaugh is on his way out.” Covers Expert Steve Merril
WHAT BOOKS SAY: “We opened at Seattle -9.5 and got sharp bet on Seahawks, buying 1/2 point to -9 (-120), so we moved the champs to -10.5 (even). On Friday, we made a small move to Seattle -10. Appears the Seahawks will be a small decision on this game, as 55 percent of cash on Seattle. 57 percent of bets on 49ers.” – Mike Jerome, TopBet.eu
ABOUT THE 49ERS (7-6 SU, 6-7 ATS, 4-9 O/U): San Francisco’s offense has been among the most unproductive in the league, ranking 26th with an average of 18.8 points, and has taken a major step back over the past two months. The 49ers have been held to 17 points or fewer in six of their last seven games and are averaging 12.3 over their last four. Quarterback Colin Kaepernick continues to regress, completing under 56 percent of his passes in four of the past five games while throwing five interceptions and only two touchdowns over his last three. Running back Frank Gore hasn’t cracked 100 yards since Week 5, putting more of an onus on a defense that ranks third in the league.
ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS, 7-6 O/U): Seattle was sitting at 3-3 following back-to-back losses to Dallas and St. Louis in mid-October but has rebounded to win six of seven and turned in three consecutive dominant defensive efforts. The Seahawks limited NFC West leader Arizona and San Francisco to a field goal apiece before holding Philadelphia’s potent offense to a season-low 139 yards in last week’s 24-14 road victory. While the defense has been superb, quarterback Russell Wilson has thrown for four touchdowns and run for another while not throwing an interception during the winning streak. Marshawn Lynch rushed for 86 yards last week to hit 1,000 for the fourth straight season.
*49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC West.
*Under is 7-1 in Seahawks last 8 vs. NFC West.
*Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Seattle.
*49ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
COVERS CONSENSUS: 57.2 percent of Covers users are backing the 49ers +10 with 58.4 percent taking the over.