Mississippi’s dream season rolls into Baton Rouge, La., on
Saturday as the third-ranked Rebels face a tough road test at
No. 23 LSU. The Rebels are off to their best start since 1962
and are aiming for only the second 8-0 start in program
history. Meanwhile, LSU has knocked off at least one top-10
opponent at Tiger Stadium in each of the past four seasons and
has chances to do so each of the next two games with No. 4
Alabama visiting on Nov. 8.
The Rebels have beaten ranked opponents two of the past three
weeks and face another big hurdle in the Tigers, who have won
two straight since a 41-7 loss at Auburn and are coming off a
41-3 thrashing of Kentucky. “The last two weeks they’ve gotten
back to doing their bread and butter,” Ole Miss coach Hugh
Freeze said of LSU. “That’s physical, control the clock.
They’re able to run the football with the outstanding backs
that they have.” LSU has won nine of the last 12 meetings but
lost 27-24 last season in Oxford; Ole Miss has won two straight
in the series only once since 1999.
TV: 7:15 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE:
LINE HISTORY: The opening line had LSU spotted
three points, before climbing to LSU +3.5 where it currently
sits. The total opened at 44, but quickly jumped to 45.
INJURY REPORT: Ole Miss – WR Laquon Treadwell
(Prob-Shoulder), OL Ben Still (Ques-Knee), OL Aaron Morris
(Prob-Ankle) LSU – N/A
WEATHER FORECAST: Death Valley will be a
perfect place for a football game Saturday. There will be no
clouds, minimal wind and temperatures around 65°F.
WHAT BOOKS SAY: “We opened LSU +3 and
early action came in on Ole Miss so we moved to +4 within the
first 24 hours. The spread has bounced around between that and
+3.5, and we’re currently offering +3.5 (-115). Almost 70
percent of the wagers have come on the Rebels. Late sharp money
will probably get this back to the key number. As far as the
total, it’s dropped a bit after opening at 47 and we’ve had
pretty even two-way action on that.” – John
Lester, Senior Line Manager at Bookmaker.eu
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: “Mississippi is a
perfect 7-0 SU/ATS, so the oddsmakers are forced to start
inflating the line higher, especially since LSU has struggled
against Class-A opponents this season. Ole Miss is now a
road favorite which is quite a difference from the look-ahead
line this summer which had LSU -7. The last time these
two teams played in Baton Rouge in 2012, LSU was a -19 point
home favorite, however the Rebels kept it close, only losing
35-41 and with a 467-427 total yard edge. Mississippi won
outright as a +9.5 point home underdog last year, holding a
substantial 525-388 total yardage edge in that game.” –
Covers Expert Steve Merril
ABOUT MISSISSIPPI (7-0, 4-0 SEC): Ole Miss
boasts the nation’s top scoring defense, allowing 10.6 points
per game, and the defense has scored almost as many TDs (4) as
it has allowed (6). The Rebels have forced a whopping 20
turnovers, including a nation-best 15 interceptions, and will
try to exploit LSU’s young quarterback duo. The offense is a
little more understated, but quarterback Bo Wallace — often
noted for his up-and-down play — has been outstanding, racking
up 1,899 passing yards with 17 TDs against six
ABOUT LSU (6-2, 2-2): The Tigers’ defense had
struggled in SEC play before turning in a dominant effort last
week, holding Kentucky to 217 total yards and three points. The
offense has put up 28 or more points in seven of eight games
despite sometimes inconsistent quarterback play, with sophomore
Anthony Jennings and freshman Brandon Harris splitting time
under center. Both quarterbacks have a strong running game to
lean on and a big-play receiver in Travin Dural, who averages
25.6 yards per catch and has hauled in seven TDs.
*Rebels are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Louisiana
*Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games following a S.U. win.
*Under is 6-0 in Rebels last 6 road games.
*Underdog is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
COVERS CONSENSUS: Fifty-seven percent of
Covers Consensus wagers are currently on Ole