Game of the Day: Pac-12 Championship

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Arizona Wildcats vs. Oregon Ducks (-14.5, 74.5)

Game to be played at neutral site at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California

Oregon will get another shot at Arizona when the No. 3 Ducks head south to face the No. 8 Wildcats in the Pac-12 championship game Friday night at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif. Oregon’s last two losses have come against Arizona, most recently Oct. 2 when the visiting Wildcats toppled the heavily favored Ducks 31-24. Arizona earned a berth in the title game after UCLA lost to Stanford on Friday and the Wildcats beat Arizona State shortly afterward.

Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota has been brilliant this season but likely still remembers his two interceptions in last season’s loss to Arizona, which ended a streak of 12 straight games without getting picked off. He has three interceptions overall in his career against the Wildcats, the most against any team. Arizona quarterback Anu Solomon won’t have his best receiver available early in the game as Samajie Grant won’t start after being cited for DUI last weekend.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE HISTORY: Oregon opened as 13.5-point favorites and have been bet an additional point to the current number of -14.5. The total opened at 72.5 and has moved up two points to sit at 74.5.

INJURY REPORT: Arizona – LB DeAndre Miller (questionable Friday, shoulder), RB Adonis Smith (questionable Friday, concussion), CB Cam Denson (questionable Friday, hip), DL Parker Zellers (questionable Friday, ankle), S Trevor Ermisch (questionable Friday, arm), WR Samajie Grant (out Friday, personal). Oregon – WR Keanon Lowe (probable Friday, undisclosed), TE Evan Baylis (questionable Friday, undisclosed), DL Alex Balducci (questionable Friday, undisclosed), DL Tony Washington (questionable Friday, undisclosed), OL Hroniss Grasu (questionable Friday, leg), RB Thomas Tyner (questionable Friday, ankle).

WEATHER REPORT: It could be a wet one, with a 64 percent chance of rain in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the mid 50’s and a mild seven mile per hour wind blowing towards the northwest end zone.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: 
“One thing is for sure, Arizona wont be intimidated by Oregon’s high octane offense, as the Wildcats have already beat the Ducks in their own backyard earlier this season. Arizona also defeated the Ducks in Tuscon in 2013. Thursday morning we got sharp bet on Ducks -13.5 (buying 1/2 point to -120) so we moved Oregon to current number of -14.5. 63 percent of cash & 65 percent of bets on spread are on Arizona.” – Mike Jerome of TopBet.eu

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: “Oregon is 0-2 against Arizona over the last two years; the Ducks are 22-1 against everybody else.   Arizona won those games by a combined score of 73-40, so it’s not like they were fluky wins.  There’s been a major adjustment on the total in this game from the first meeting when the oddsmakers hung an 81.5 Over/Under line.  The current total on this game is now a full touchdown less which may prove to be too much of a correction, especially since Oregon’s offense is much healthier now than in the earlier meeting this season.” – Covers Expert Steve Merril

CHEERLEADER WAR:


ABOUT ARIZONA (10-2, 7-2, Pac-12): Solomon seems to be wearing down as his freshman season comes to a close. He hasn’t thrown for more than 250 yards in the last five games after surpassing that mark six times in the first seven games, including 287 passing yards and a touchdown in the first game against the Ducks. While he has been slowing up, freshman running back Nick Wilson has been heating up, rushing for at least 100 yards the last four games and scoring eight touchdowns in the last three.

ABOUT OREGON (11-1, 8-1): With a berth in the first annual College Football Playoff on the line for Oregon, Mariota is expected to get some help at the wide receiver spot as Keanon Lowe is set to return after sitting out the win against Oregon State last week for unknown reasons. Lowe, who missed two games in October with a hamstring injury, is one of six Ducks with at least four touchdown receptions this season. Oregon receiver Devon Allen, the defending NCAA 110 hurdles champion, caught six touchdown passes in the first five games but hasn’t scored since the loss to the Wildcats.

TWEET BEAT:


TRENDS:

* Arizona is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
* Oregon is 7-0 ATS in its last seven conference games.
* Under is 4-1 in Arizona’s last five games overall.
* Over is 4-0-1 in Oregon’s last five games versus a team with a winning record.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Over 56.18 percent of wagers are backing Arizona +14.5 with 56.9 percent on the over.

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