Texas Tech and host Texas will each have their hands full trying to stop the other’s offense during Thursday night’s Big 12 matchup. The Red Raiders own one of the nation’s top passing offenses while the Longhorns have a strong – but banged up – ground game.
Texas’ top two running backs – D’Onta Foreman (finger) and Johnathan Gray (foot) – are both unlikely as the Longhorns come out of a bye week. Texas will also likely be without freshman offensive guard Patrick Vahe (knee) against a Red Raiders defense that is giving up 259.9 rushing yards. Texas Tech has gaudy numbers through the air – quarterback Patrick Mahomes II is ranked fourth nationally with an average of 355.5 yards and 31 touchdowns – but DeAndre Washington has been a solid rusher in the Big 12. The Red Raiders are trying to win at Texas for the first time since 1997 after losing the past eight visits by an average of 26.3 points.
TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1.
LINE HISTORY: Texas opened as a 1-point home favorite and was bet as high as -1.5, before jumping the fence and moving all the way to one-point dogs. The total has held steady at its opening number of 72.5.
Texas Tech – OL J. Murphy (out for season, knee), DL T. Nunez (out for season, knee).
Texas – RB D. Foreman (questionable Thursday, wrist), TE B. Whiteley (out for season, knee).
WEATHER REPORT: There is some rough weather in the forecast, with a 70 percent chance of rain anf a chance of thunderstorms. Temperatures will be in the low 70’s with a 7-10 mile per hour wind blowing towards the northern end zone.
ABOUT TEXAS TECH (6-5, 6-4-1 ATS, 8-3 O/U): Jakeem Grant averages 94.4 receiving yards and has six TD catches and two kickoff returns for scores. Washington has 1,282 rushing yards, including a league-best 402 yards after contact against Big 12 opponents, for an offense averaging 46.5 points. The Red Raiders rank 122nd in FBS in rushing defense and second-to-last in total defense (546.8) after holding Kansas State to 123 rushing yards in their last game.
ABOUT TEXAS (4-6, 4-6 ATS, 4-6 O/U): Freshmen Chris Warren III (18 carries, 88 yards) and Kirk Johnson (five carries, 12 yards) will get the bulk of work if Foreman (681 yards, five TDs) and Gray (489 yards, three TDs) can’t play. Quarterbacks Jerrod Heard (1,202 passing yards, five TDs) and Tyrone Swoopes (334 passing yards, three TDs) combine for 858 rushing yards and 12 scores. Texas, which is 41-13-1 at home on Thanksgiving Day, has rushed for 256.4 yards during its past five games.
* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Texas Tech is 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in Texas last five games following a bye.
COVERS CONSENSUS: The public is backing Texas Tech in this Big 12 matchup, with 57 percent of wagers on the Red Raiders. When it comes to the total, 57 percent of bettors are on the over.