Hoop and the Harm: Weekly NBA Betting Recap for March 2-9


Welcome to the Hoop and the Harm. This is a weekly feature on OddsShark where hoops bettors can uncover all the hottest need-to-know trends, stats and general info for the week that was on the hardwood.

There’s no escaping it: the NBA has transitioned into a 3-point obsessed league over the last decade. While jump-shooting teams used to be frowned upon in the past, the modern shape of the Association features a litany of bombers while coaches are featuring more and more small-ball lineups to get higher numbers of shooters on the floor every season.

The traditional use of centers and power forwards has shifted as well, as many of the NBA’s biggest players are equipping themselves with the 3-point shot to help space the floor for their smaller teammates.

So, how can sports bettors capitalize on the trend? This week I’m taking a look at how the best (and worst) 3-point shooting teams have done when it goes to going OVER and UNDER totals.

Shoot the J! Shoot it!

Team Percentage of points from 3-pointers OVER/UNDER record
Houston Rockets 43.9 percent 34-30-1
Cleveland Cavaliers 39.5 percent 35-27
Boston Celtics 36.3 percent 31-32-2
Golden State Warriors 36.1 percent 27-37
Brooklyn Nets 32.9 percent 33-29-1

Under the guidance of offensive-minded head coach Mike D’Antoni, the Rockets are shooting the three ball at a ridiculous rate this year and it’s led to a sizzling 44-21 straight up record. The Rockets, who occupy the third spot in the Western Conference, haven’t been as consistent as going OVER totals as their Eastern Conference counterparts Cleveland, though.

At 35-27 O/U, the Cavs have been the fifth-best OVER bet in the NBA this season. Cleveland isn’t afraid to chuck up threes, as the mid-season addition of veteran marksman Kyle Korver from Atlanta has greatly increased their 3-point prowess.

While the wine and gold’s “Big Three” of LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love have all been getting the job done from downtown, it’s the Cavs’ bench that’s made the biggest difference from beyond the arc. James Jones (56.9 percent), Derrick Williams (43.8) and Channing Frye (40.5) have all done an excellent job in putting points on the board from the second unit.

You get an ‘E’ for effort

Team Percentage of points from 3-pointers OVER/UNDER record
Chicago Bulls 20.4 percent 24-39-1
Minnesota Timberwolves 22.9 percent 32-31
Detroit Pistons 23.2 percent 31-33
Phoenix Suns 23.7 percent 41-23
Orlando Magic 25.3 percent 29-36

The Chicago Bulls have been the hottest UNDER team in the league for the majority of the 2016-17 campaign, and that’s likely not going to change as long as their struggles from long range continue. At 24-39-1 O/U, the Bulls have been an extremely inept bunch under Fred Hoiberg but they’re still in the Eastern Conference playoff picture at 31-33 SU.

No player on the Bulls is shooting above 40 percent from 3-point range, as Jerian Grant (38.3 percent), Bobby Portis (35.8) and Jimmy Butler (34) all lead the way among regulars. Whatever direction this team is trying to go in is clearly not working, and it’s only a matter of time before major shakeups hit the organization from the top down.

Bettors can find some solace in tailing the UNDER, however, as that’s looking like the only safe way to bet the Bulls this year.


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