Indians vs Tigers Betting Odds and Pick, September 29, 2016

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It’s coming down to the nitty-gritty in the AL wild-card race as the Tigers chase that elusive last spot. Detroit sits just one game behind the Orioles with five games left to play as they send Daniel Norris (3-2, 3.59 ERA) to the mound this afternoon in search of the series win vs the Indians.

– Shark
BITES
  • The Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 games on the road against the Tigers.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Tigers’ last 6 games against teams with winning records.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Indians’ last 4 games against the Tigers.

It’s been pretty clear what to expect from Norris: five to six innings of good pitching where he gives up an average of about two runs. He will give his team a good shot to compete this afternoon, but it’s unlikely he shuts out the Indians. Before their 7-4 loss to the Royals in his last start, the Tigers had won five straight games started by Norris.

Ryan Merritt will make his first career start today against a Tigers lineup that has averaged 7.3 runs per game in its last 10 games. Detroit has also won three straight games against lefty starters and Merritt has pitched just six total innings in the majors.

The OVER is trending and with the way the Tigers have been hitting, this one could go OVER with a bullet.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans looking to pick the Detroit Tigers in this matchup found them as -137 favorites on the MLB money line at BetOnline. Betting the over under instead? It was 9.5 at its open earlier today and hovering near that number at Bovada.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 7.2-3.2 win for the Tigers. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Cleveland Indians vs Detroit Tigers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

85-73 Detroit battles the Indians, currently with a 91-67 mark. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Detroit vs Cleveland injuries news.

It’s a MLB baseball betting matchup between the No. 17-rated Detroit Tigers and the league No. 14-ranked Cleveland Indians, according to the latest MLB power poll here at Odds – Shark
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Statistical Matchup

Scoring stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features the Detroit Tigers No. 10-ranked scoring average of 4.68 runs per game, against a Cleveland Indians offense rated No. 4 and scoring 4.82 runs per game. The Tigers have averaged 9.2 hits per game to date this season, more than the Indians hitters have managed (8.94 per nine innings).

Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and Detroit has the No. 18-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Indians own the No. 8 mark in runs allowed.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Cleveland didn’t get the job done in their last match, falling 6-3 to Detroit on Wednesday at Comerica Park.

Betting Trends
  • Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 games
  • Cleveland is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
  • Detroit is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
  • Detroit is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit’s last 5 games
  • Detroit is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Cleveland at Kansas City, Friday, September 30th
Detroit at Atlanta, Friday, September 30th

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