Jets vs Penguins Betting Odds

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Since the all-star break, scoring in the NHL has sky-rocketed from the 5.45 total goals per game number we saw before the New Year to the total of 5.91 per game we’ve seen since the league’s stars got together for some goofs and gaffs in Los Angeles. The higher scores we’re seeing in the NHL have led to OVER bettors benefitting at the betting window and if you’ve been picking your spots correctly, you probably have been too. Two teams who have contributed a lot to that trend are the Jets and Penguins who have combined for a goals per game total of 6.14 since the all-star break. Coincidentally enough, these teams will face off tonight in Pittsburgh in a game that opened with a total of six.

Such a high total can scare bettors off the scent of an OVER bet but according to the 9-6-1 OVER/UNDER record for all games that have had a total of six or more this season – you may want to be bullish in this spot.

These totals of six and 6.5 are starting to become commonplace on the NHL betting board with scoring way up and the Penguins, with their 34-16-4 O/U record, have been involved in almost half the games this season that have had one of those high totals. So, how have Sid the Kid and Hotdog Phil responded in those seven instances? They’ve gone 5-2 straight up with an O/U record of 4-3 – not too shabby.

Here’s a look at those specific games:

Penguins’ totals of 6 or More in the 2016-17 Season
Date Away Home Away Score Home Score Closing Total OU Result
February 4, 2017 Penguins Blues 4 1 6 U
February 3, 2017 Blue Jackets Penguins 3 4 6 O
January 24, 2017 Blues Penguins 3 0 6 U
January 20, 2017 Penguins Hurricanes 7 1 6.5 O
January 8, 2017 Lightning Penguins 2 6 6 O
December 23, 2016 Devils Penguins 1 4 6 U
December 22, 2016 Penguins Blue Jackets 1 7 6.5 O

And what about the Jets? They’ve, amazingly, had just two games with a total of six or more – both in matchups with the Stars – and went 2-0 SU in those games with an O/U record of 2-0. Winnipeg is on a crazy run of OVERs right now, posting a 13-2-1 O/U record over the course of their last 16 games and their games have had an average total of 6.71 goals since the break.

Here’s the Jets’ table for games where the total was six or more:

Jets’ totals of 6 or more in the 2016-17 Season
Date Away Home Away Score Home Score Closing Total OU Result
February 14, 2017 Stars Jets 2 5 6.5 O
February 2, 2017 Jets Stars 4 3 6 O

With those past results in mind, let’s take a look at the matchup for this evening to see if this one has a chance to breach its total.

When I was analyzing this game, a couple things jumped right off the page. 1. The Penguins, with 3.93 goals per game, are the highest scoring team in the NHL when playing at home. 2. The Jets have given up an average of 3.23 goals per game in their 30 games on the road this year. Put those numbers together and you get a total of 7.15 goals, *chin scratching emoji*. I’m no scientist or mathematician or whatever but from the looks of it, 7.15 is a bigger number than six.

I know it’s not that simple but why isn’t it? Pittsburgh scores a bunch at the horribly named PPG Paints Arena and Winnipeg gives up a bucket goals when they travel. With Winnipeg’s goalies struggling mightily to keep the puck out of the net this month and the Pens coming off a five-goal outburst, this one seems like an easy bet.

To pile on a little bit, the Jets are the second most penalized road team in the NHL and Pittsburgh this season has converted on 27.1 percent of its power plays at home – the second-best rate in the league.

That’s all I really need to know for this one but for the rest of you, who need further convincing, check out the Jets-Pens matchup here.

Here’s the betting lines from Bovada for tonight’s game:

Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Jets +1.5 (-130) +215 6 (-125) OVER
Penguins -1.5 (+110) +255 6 (+105) UNDER

Odds as of February 16 at Bovada

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