Jonny OddsShark on Outkick This Week – March 9

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Each week I’ll give a rundown in a little more detail of what Clay Travis and I discussed on Outkick on Fox Sports radio every Thursday. Hope you listen in each week and if you missed us, you can check out the interview in full here.

Odds on Tony Romo’s next team:

Tony Romo was officially released by the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday. Here are the odds on who he’ll sign with: 

Broncos +170   
Texans +240        
Bears +400        
Jets +600     
Browns +900     
49ers +1300     
Redskins +1600     
Field +900 

I feel the Texans or ‘the Field’ might be the best bets here. I know there’s a lot of Broncos talk but Denver’s offensive line struggled last season. Romo can’t afford to have a weak line in front of him and I think we’ll see him in a warm-weather destination. 

My guess on how futures odds might change if Romo signs with these teams: 

Broncos: 18-1 to 12-1
Texans: 33-1 to 12-1
Bears: 80-1 to 50-1
Jets: 80-1 to 60-1
Browns: 150-1 to 150-1
49ers: 125-1 to 50-1
Redskins: 40-1 to 30-1

Note: Reports late Thursday afternoon say the Houston Texans moved Brock Osweiler to the Cleveland Browns to make room for Tony Romo. Futures odds on Houston moved to 15-1. So I was slightly off.  

NBA MVP odds:

James Harden -150
Russell Westbrook +160
LeBron James +600
Kawhi Leonard +600
Isaiah Thomas +3300

Some might be surprised to see Harden so heavily favored here. Westbrook is averaging a triple-double and has gotten most of the hype this season. 

But the truth in sports often lies in sports betting and you’ll see that Harden has been a much better bet this season. You could argue that he also has more to work with but I think team performance is what’s really driving the odds here. 

Westbrook notes: 
Averaging a trip double. Leading NBA in points. 10.5 rebounds per game. 10.0 assists (3rd). +2.9 when he’s on the floor. OKC is 35-29 straight up and 34-30 against the spread. 

Harden notes: 
Harden 3rd in points. 1st in assists. 7.9 rebounds per game. 5.8 turnovers, which is more than Westbrook. Houston has the much better record 44-21 and is the second-best bet in the NBA at 37-28 ATS. 

Scoring in college hoops: 

Last season oddsmakers struggled to set totals in the first week of March Madness with the introduction of the 30-second shot clock. The OVER went 20-12 through the first four days after scoring rose from 134 ppg in 2014-15 to 145 ppg last year.  

I think oddsmakers might overcompensate this year in the first week with scoring on the rise again to 146 ppg in 2016-17. My best guess is we’ll see more UNDERs in the first week this season but I’m going to hold off early on to see how it plays out. 

College hoops tips: 

  • Teams coming off a bye cover at 61.3 percent (as of Thurs afternoon) going back four seasons in the biggest conferences 
  • Underdogs of 15 points or more covering at almost 60 percent since 2005 

–Two today so far: Chicago State +19.5 vs. New Mex St; USTA +16.5 vs. Middle Tennessee 

Teams coming off a bye are 7-0 ATS and the ACC was 5-0 ATS in this spot by Thursday afternoon. Thursday is the last day you’ll get this betting spot. 

Who will be the next president in 2020

Clay and I discussed odds from Bovada on who will be the next president in 2020. Find them all here:  

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