Louisville vs Auburn Betting Odds and Pick – September 5, 2015

The Auburn Tigers are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as they look to bounce back from last year’s late-season collapse when they take on the Louisville Cardinals as big betting favorites on Saturday afternoon at the Georgia Dome.

The Tigers were contending for the SEC West division title and a possible College Football Playoff berth before losing three of their last four regular season contests last year to finish 8-4 SU and and 4-8 ATS.

The Cardinals are coming off their first season in the ACC, tallying a 9-4 overall record and earning the No. 20 ranking in the AP Top 25. However, Louisville became a risky bet as the season progressed, going 2-4 ATS in their final six games to finish with a 7-7 ATS record.

Saturday’s clash is the first between these two teams since 1974. The Tigers are a mediocre 4-4 SU and 3-5 ATS in their past eight games against ACC opponents while the Cardinals enjoy a recent 5-1 SU record against SEC competition, including a pair of outright wins as road underdogs.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as BetOnline had set the Auburn Tigers as -10.5-point favorites on the opening betting line for this contest. Watch for over-under updates and superior underdogs lines at Bodog.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 21-20 win for the Tigers. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Louisville Cardinals vs Auburn Tigers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Louisville Cardinals will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Saturday, as they are 7-6 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Auburn Tigers are 4-9 ATS. Louisville is 5-7-1 against the over under total, while Auburn is 6-6-1 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Auburn vs Louisville injuries news.

The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Auburn Tigers at No. 28 and the Louisville Cardinals at No. 30 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Auburn’s No. 27-ranked offense, averaging 35.46 PPG, against a Louisville defense that ranks No. 24 this week at 21.77 PPG. The Auburn aerial game is averaging 229.54 yards per game, more than the Louisville Cardinals secondary allows through the air, 199.62 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Louisville Cardinals own the league’s No. 2-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 86 yards per game when on the road. Auburn, on the other hand, rates No. 2 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Nick Chubb ran through the Louisville defense for 266 yards in Georgia’s last game, handing the Cardinals a 37-14 setback on Tuesday at Bank of America Stadium.

Melvin Gordon went over the 100-yard mark (251) in his team’s latest effort as Wisconsin defeated Auburn by a score of 34-31 on Thursday.

Betting Trends
  • Louisville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Louisville is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Louisville’s last 12 games on the road
  • Louisville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Auburn is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Auburn is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Auburn’s last 13 games at home
  • Auburn is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

Next Betting Matchups

Louisville home to Houston, Saturday, September 12th
Auburn home to Jacksonville State, Saturday, September 12th

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