The most lopsided matchup of the playoffs gets started Thursday evening when the Maple Leafs invade the Verizon Center to take on the juggernaut Washington Capitals as +330 underdogs in the best of seven series. Winners of the President’s Trophy for the second straight year, the Capitals finished out their season winning eight of their final 10 and will be expecting to roll the upstart Maple Leafs.
– Shark BITES
- The Capitals are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against the Maple Leafs
- The total has gone UNDER in the Capitals’ last 4 games at home.
- The Capitals are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games in the playoffs at home.
Nothing is certain, of course, but the Caps opened Game 1 as a -200 moneyline favorite and will get a Leafs’ side that’s been diminished by injuries to key guys such as Nikita Zaitsev, Josh Leivo and former Capital, Eric Fehr. Given the trends and the skill of the two teams involved, it doesn’t take a computer algorithm to figure out that Washington should win tonight, the real question is – how much will they win by?
Myself, I’ll be on the Caps’ puckline as I think they win this game by at least two goals. If you’re not quite as confident, however, you could take Washington on the three-way moneyline. The Caps earned more regulation wins than any other team in the league and taking them to win within 60 minutes will get you a little more value.
So, why am I so confident? The Capitals were the best home team in the NHL, losing just nine games in D.C. all season while limiting opponents to 26 shots per game and a league-low 1.63 goals against per game.
Toronto is outmatched tonight and I expect this game to be over early.
Opening Odds & Computer Pick
The Washington Capitals were listed earlier today as -198 moneyline favorites at most sportsbooks tracked by Odds – Shark (including Bovada), while odds makers set the opening betting total around 5.5.
Odds – Shark prediction models pick the Capitals to win this game 3.3-2. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Washington Capitals currently sport a record of 55-19-8. The Toronto Maple Leafs are 40-27-15. Betting totals have seen the Capitals post a 36-31-15 OVER/UNDER record this season, while the Maple Leafs have gone 37-43-2 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Washington vs Toronto injuries news.
According to new NHL Power Rankings here at Odds – Shark, it’s the No. 3-ranked Washington Capitals and the No. 8-rated Toronto Maple Leafs in this matchup.
Offensively, the game matches up the Washington Capitals No. 3-ranked offense (3.21 goals per game) against a Toronto Maple Leafs defense that ranks No. 22 at 2.95 goals per game allowed. The Capitals powerplay has clicked at a 23.08% rate while the Maple Leafs have a 83% rate on the penalty kill.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Toronto lost its last outing, a 3-2 result against the Blue Jackets on April 09. Bettors who backed the Blue Jackets at +153 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (5) sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
In their last action, Washington was a 2-0 loser at home against the Panthers. Bettors on Florida at +169 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (2) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.
- Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- Toronto is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
- Toronto is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
- Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
- Washington is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games
- Washington is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 games at home
- Washington is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Toronto at Washington, Saturday, April 15th