Michigan State vs Indiana Betting Odds and Pick – October 1, 2016

A pair of Big Ten rivals will be looking to bounce back from upset losses when the Michigan State Spartans battle the Indiana Hoosiers on Saturday in a Week 5 betting matchup at Memorial Stadium.

– Shark Bites
  • Michigan State is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in its last six games after a loss.
  • Indiana is 1-7 SU in its last eight games against teams with winning records.
  • The total has gone OVER in Michigan State’s last eight games against Indiana.

The Spartans are coming off their first straight up loss of the season, dropping a 30-6 decision to Wisconsin while pegged as 3.5-point home chalk. The loss ended a nine-game SU win streak on home turf, extending the squad’s recent shaky record at the sportsbooks, where they have failed to cover in four of their past five.

The Hoosiers also went down to defeat as home favorites last weekend, falling 33-28 to Wake Forest as 7.5-point chalk. Indiana outgained the Demon Deacons by a massive 611-352 margin, but were undone by the five interceptions thrown by pivot Richard Lagow.

Indiana has now fallen to 1-5 SU in their past six home dates, and have failed to cover in three of their past four. The Hoosiers also face the daunting task of ending a seven-game SU losing streak against the Spartans, and are 1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS, in their past eight home clashes with Michigan State.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

On the betting opening line for this matchup, the Indiana Hoosiers sat as 8-point underdog, according to 5Dimes. The total had not been posted early in the week, so check the lines pages for the latest.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 35-33 win for the Hoosiers. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Michigan State Spartans vs Indiana Hoosiers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Indiana Hoosiers sit at 2-1 (1-2 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Michigan State Spartans are currently 2-1 (1-2 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? Indiana is 1-2 OU, and Michigan State is 1-2 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Indiana vs Michigan State injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Indiana Hoosiers rated this week at No. 54 and the Michigan State Spartans sitting at No. 40.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Indiana’s No. 65-ranked offense, averaging 30.67 PPG, against a Michigan State defense that ranks No. 52 this week at 23.67 PPG. The Indiana aerial game is averaging 334 yards per game, more than the Michigan State Spartans secondary allows through the air, 226 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Michigan State Spartans feature the league’s No. 4-rated road run defense, allowing 57 yards per game. Indiana, meanwhile, ranks No. 96 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Michigan State didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Badgers as Wisconsin blasted them 30-6 in Week 4 action.

Richard Lagow led the way last time out for the Hoosiers, connecting for 496 passing yards, but failing to earn the victory in a 33-28 loss to the Hoosiers at Memorial Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Michigan State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Michigan State is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 5 games
  • Michigan State is 15-6-2 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
  • Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • Indiana is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana’s last 10 games
  • Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Michigan State home to BYU, Saturday, October 8th
Indiana at Ohio State, Saturday, October 8th

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