MLB betting cheat sheet and odds: Dodging the Over

Our Covers MLB cheat sheet breaks down the best MLB betting notes so you can handicap every series like a pro this week, including the pitching-rich Los Angeles Dodgers who travel to New York to take on the Yankees.

Welcome Mat

It has come to this for the Washington Nationals, who have been forced into starting right-hander Mat Latos for an important series opener against the visiting New York Mets. Latos will start in place of Stephen Strasburg, who may be lost for the season with an elbow injury. Strasburg was one of the top value pitchers in the league in 2016, going into Sunday ranking 13th in units won at $944. Latos wasn’t bad himself – racking up $629 with the White Sox earlier in the season – but struggled so poorly after a hot start that he was released and subsequently picked up by Washington.

Over and Out

The Minnesota Twins have settled into a nice groove, offering bettors a plethora of losses and Overs. The Twins continue playing out the string this week as they kick off a four-game road series against the Detroit Tigers. Minnesota is coming off a 4-6 homestead in which it posted eight straight Overs before registering back-to-back unders Saturday and Sunday against the Cleveland Indians. Minnesota is a lowly 24-44 away from Target Field this season, but has boosted Over bettors’ bottom lines by going 39-24-5 O/U through 68 road games in 2016.

Dodging the Over

The Los Angeles Dodgers are a solid Under bet this week as they kick off a three-game inteleague series Monday at Yankee Stadium. The National League West leaders are just 62-75-5 O/U for the season, and will be sending a pair of hot Under plays to the hill in this one. Teenage phenom Julio Urias gets the call Tuesday; he began his major-league career on a rocky note but has posted four straight quality starts while lowering his ERA to 3.69. Things get even tougher for the Yankees on Wednesday, as Dodgers ace and Under poster boy Clayton Kershaw takes the mound.

WAG of the Week

Dallas Latos is the wife of, well traveled, Washington Nationals starting pitcher Mat Latos.

Injury Updates

* The Texas Rangers haven’t missed a beat despite losing outfielder Shin-Soo Choo for the season to a forearm injury. Texas is 59-39 SU for a whopping $2,533 units for the season with Choo out of the lineup; they’re 16-7-1 O/U in the last 24 games he has missed.

* Jabari Blash’s absence from the San Diego lineup has had a negative impact on the Padres’ fortunes. The Padres are 6-12 SU for -$347 since Blash was placed on the 15-day disables list with a finger injury. They’re 8-8-2 O/U in his absence.

Hitting Notes

* Chicago White Sox slugger Todd Frazier has hit a September wall, going just 2-for-20 over his previous six games to see his average plummet to .213. Frazier is slashing a dismal .216/.288/.405 since the All-Star break, during which the White Sox have fallen out of contention.

* The opposite has been the case for Kansas City Royals DH Kendrys Morales, who has been one of the hottest hitters in the league over the past week. Morales went deep five times since Monday, including a solo shot in Sunday’s 2-0 win over the White Sox; he added 14 RBIs in six games.

Pitching Notes

* Francisco Liriano will look to get over the break-even point in a Toronto uniform Monday as he leads the Blue Jays against visiting Tampa Bay. Liriano has been a -$2 pitcher in four starts with Toronto – a big improvement over his time with Pittsburgh, when he lost 511 units in 21 starts.

* The Boston Red Sox have a winning record with David Price on the hill, but he’s still working his way back into the black as he faces Baltimore’s Dylan Bundy on Tuesday. Price comes into this one at -$441 even though the Red Sox are 17-13 in his 30 starts.

Totals Trend

The Kansas City Royals are working to shed their label as a slam-dunk Under play, going Over in 10 of their last 12 games. Despite the run of high totals, the Royals are just 63-71-8 O/U for the season.


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