MLB Picks and Parlays: Cincinnati Looks to Get a Win Versus Miami
A season once filled with promise has now gone by the wayside in Cincinnati. They have fallen 21 games below .500 after an atrocious start to their post All-Star game schedule. After dropping the first two games of this series with Miami they are 2-13 since play resumed. They’ve now lost five straight heading into Saturday’s games.
Miami Marlins started their post-break schedule slowly with five losses in six games, including two of three at home to the hapless Phillies. A visit to Cincinnati was just what the doctor ordered as they are now 6-2 in their eight games with four wins out of five versus the Reds. Their record sits at 48-53 and they’re tied with Atlanta for second in the NL East.
On Friday night the Marlins prevailed 7-4 after falling behind 3-0 after the first inning. They managed to tie the game by the sixth inning and then put up a four-run inning in the seventh for the deciding runs. J.T. Realmuto had the tie breaking home run as one of his three hits on the night.
Cincinnati Reds is averaging 3 RPG since the break -last in the league and their team ERA is 6.60 which is second last over that period.
The Marlins are averaging 5 RPG since the break (7th in the NL) and their team ERA is 5.12 which is 12th in the NL.
Tim Adleman (5-6, 5.11 ERA) has a 6.49 ERA in five July starts. He’s 0-4 in that time and the Reds have lost four of his five starts. The last game out he gave up five runs on six hits in six innings of work. The 23 home runs he’s allowed is tied for third worst in the National League.
Adam Conley (3-3, 5.62 ERA) missed over two months of action and was largely ineffective when he was pitching in his last three starts before going on the DL. He’s come back a much better pitcher and has pitched 13 innings in his two starts, allowing two runs in the process. The Marlins won his last start, 4-0 over the Rangers.
- Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 8 games
- Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Cash It In: The Marlins are -145 favorites, the Reds are +125 underdogs. Given the way Cincinnati has played of late the only reason to take them is under the assumption that their losing streak can’t keep on going for that much longer. I think Miami wins a close one. Marlins 6-4.