Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Chiefs at Packers

Kansas City Chiefs at Green Bay Packers (-6.5, 49)

After absorbing a crushing last-second home loss to future Hall of Famer Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos, the Kansas City Chiefs must try to bounce back against arguably the NFL’s best quarterback at one of the league’s toughest venues. Awaiting the Chiefs on Monday night are Aaron Rodgers and the unbeaten Green Bay Packers, who have won nine in a row at Lambeau Field.

“We have a home-field advantage that’s growing,” Rodgers said. “We’ve started fast as well at home the last couple of years, so we’ve been able to make teams one-dimensional on the other side.” Green Bay must avoid an emotional letdown after scoring 11 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to knock off the Seattle Seahawks 27-17 last Sunday. Kansas City was on the verge of a 2-0 start before allowing a pair of touchdowns nine seconds apart in the final minute, with the game-winner coming on the return of a fumble by Jamaal Charles. “It was pretty simple,” Chiefs coach Andy Reid said. “Five turnovers and 70 yards on penalties. … We’ll feel this one.”

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Pack as 6.5-point home faves. The total is up to 49 from the opening 48.

INJURY REPORT: Chiefs – DB Sean Smith (Eligible Week 4, suspension). Packers – WR Davante Adams (Probable, ankle), RB Eddie Lacy (Questionable, ankle), T Bryan Bulaga (Early November, knee), DT Letroy Guion (Eligible Week 4, suspension).

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-60s with a 53 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow toward the south end zone at around five miles per hour.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Chiefs (-2.5) + Packers (-5.0) + home field (-3.0) = Packers -5.5

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: “KC was in position to win and cover against Denver despite a -3 turnover margin, but the final Jamaal Charles fumble doomed their chance to go 2-0. Relatively conservative head coach Mike McCarthy, facing nemesis Seattle in an early season statement game still chose to punt or kick on 4th and 1 on three separate occasions.” Covers Expert Teddy Covers.

CHEERLEADER WAR:

The Packers don’t have cheerleaders, so here’s a double dose of the Chiefs’ squad:


ABOUT THE CHIEFS (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 2-0 O/U):
Charles had a big game with 125 yards on 21 carries but it went for naught after his second lost fumble of the game snatched a victory away from Kansas City, which has gone 18 consecutive games without a touchdown pass to a wide receiver. Quarterback Alex Smith followed up a strong opener with two interceptions against Denver and has yet to establish much of a rapport with Jeremy Maclin, who had nine catches for 109 yards in the first two games. The Chiefs are tied for second in the league with eight sacks and must try to exploit the absence of offensive tackle Bryan Bulaga, who will miss his second game in a row.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 1-1 O/U):
Rodgers lost his top target when wideout Jordy Nelson suffered a season-ending knee injury in the preseason and saw Eddie Lacy exit last week’s game with an ankle injury, but the starting running back returned to practice on a limited basis Friday and would not rule out playing. James Starks fills in admirably for Lacy, rushing for 95 yards on 20 carries against Seattle and may need another big effort with wide receiver Davante Adams also questionable with an ankle injury. Rodgers has averaged only 219 yards passing in the first two games but has five scoring passes versus zero interceptions.

TWEET BEAT:

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Over is 8-2 in Packers last 10 games in September.
* Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last five games in Week 3.
* Under is 5-1 in Chiefs last six Monday games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Fifty-three percent of bettors are backing the Packers.

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