Two teams that entered Week 14 as division leaders will clash on Monday Night Football, but with just one of them over the .500 mark on the season the sportsbooks have made this contest the biggest mismatch of the week on their betting lines.
The Green Bay Packers, at 9-3 SU and 7-4-1 ATS on the season, are sitting as 13.5-point home favorites for their game at Lambeau Field against the Atlanta Falcons on Monday night, with Matt Schaub and company battling for the NFC South lead despite records of just 5-7 both SU and ATS on the season.
[ Check out the latest MNF odds at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com ]
Green Bay is coming off a statement victory over Tom Brady and the New England Patriots last week, topping them 26-21 and covering the 1.5-point spread at home at the sportsbooks in an UNDER result. The Packers are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in their nine most recent games.
Atlanta is coming off a 29-18 win over the Arizona Cardinals as a 1.5-point home underdog, making them 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS in their last four games and putting them back in the playoff race. The Falcons had lost five games in a row prior to that recent run of solid results.
The Packers topped the Falcons 22-21 but didn’t cover as a 3.5-point home favorite when the teams met last December in an UNDER result. Green Bay is 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS in its last six games against Atlanta dating back to 2005, with the UNDER 3-1 in their last four meetings.
Matchup Report: Atlanta at Green Bay (Lambeau Field)
Betting Trends – Atlanta at Green Bay
Falcons on 4-0 ATS run as double-digit dogs; just third time since 2002 have gotten this many points (13)
Falcons 2-8 ATS last 10 games as road underdogs (0-10 SU)
Falcons 6-3 ATS last 9 meetings with Packers (4-5 SU)
Packers 5-0 ATS last 5 games as home favorites (average margin of victory 26.4 points)
UNDER 3-1 in last 4 meetings (OVER 5-1 previous 6)
UNDER 6-2 in Atlanta’s last 8 games as road underdog (3-0 L3)
OVER 5-1 in Green Bay’s last 6 games as home favorite
Robert Alford CB Out Week 14 (wrist)
Stansly Maponga DE Questionable Week 14 (elbow)
Roddy White WR Questionable Week 14 (ankle)
Justin Blalock G Probable Week 14 (back)
Harry Douglas WR Probable Week 14 (foot)
Green Bay Injuries
Jamari Lattimore LB Out Week 14 (ankle)
Luther Robinson DE Out Week 14 (calf)
Sam Shields CB Questionable Week 14 (concussion)
Josh Boyd DE Probable Week 14 (knee)
Mike Daniels DT Probable Week 14 (back)
T.J. Lang G Probable Week 14 (ankle)
Nick Perry LB Probable Week 14 (shoulder)
Josh Sitton G Probable Week 14 (toe)
Lane Taylor G Probable Week 14 (illness)