NCAAF line watch: Three bowl bets you shouldn’t wait on


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With the matchups set and the odds on the board for college football bowl season, Covers Experts Steve Merril tells you which bowls you should bet right away in order to get the best value. Here are two bowl spreads and a total to bet now:


South Alabama Jaguars (-2.5) vs. Bowling Green Falcons

The line reversed in the this bowl after Bowling Green opened as a 1-point favorite and early money quickly came in on South Alabama, making the Jaguars 2.5-point favorites.  This line will likely rise higher and hit the key number of 3, so shrewd bettors should jump on this game now.

Bowling Green is one of the worst teams to make a bowl game this season. The Falcons come into this game in a tailspin, losing three straight games and four of their past six games overall. Bowling Green has been dreadful versus the pointspread and it is just 2-7-1 ATS during its last 10 games. 

South Alabama is playing in its first bowl game and it gets to stay in state, which gives the Jaguars a nice edge. Bettors should play this game now and take the best of the number.


Houston Cougars vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (-3)

Pittsburgh was briefly a 2.5-point favorite over Houston and early money quickly came in on the favorite, moving the line up to -3. This line will probably tick up higher above the key number at some point, so Pitt bettors should get on this game soon.

Pittsburgh holds a significant offensive edge in this game and since Houston has a below-average defense, bettors will certainly favor the better offense in this matchup.

Houston’s best win this season came at Memphis when it was fortunate to be on the receiving end of five turnovers. Other than that gift-wrapped win, the Cougars beat a slew of losing teams. Take Pittsburgh now before the line goes higher.


Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (50.5)

Virginia Tech and Cincinnati are complete opposites. The Hokies have a terrible offense and a very good defense. The Bearcats have a potent offense and a terrible defense. This total was probably a difficult one for the oddsmakers to set. The total opened 50.5 at most books.

Cincinnati is currently a 3-point favorite over Virginia Tech. The Bearcats opened at -3.5 and the line drop is because early money came in on Virginia Tech. This could indicate future money on the Under as well since a low-scoring game would favor the Hokies. 

You can definitely make a case that Virginia Tech/Under and Cincinnati/Over are somewhat correlated in this game.


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