With Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers ailing with an injured calf and Seattle Seahawks signal caller Russell Wilson not known for putting up big passing numbers, bettors may want to look hard at the running games for each team heading into Sunday’s NFC Championship Game.
But first, it’s worth recapping how Rodgers and Wilson have both performed recently and against this week’s opponent before wagering on any NFL props involving them at Bodog.
Rodgers has done an admirable job leading Green Bay to wins over the Detroit Lions and Dallas Cowboys in the team’s last two games, averaging 271 yards and totaling five touchdown passes. However, he is clearly not healthy, and neither of those two games took place on the road, where he has thrown all five of his interceptions.
Bodog has set the total passing yards for Rodgers at 260.5 against the Seahawks, a number he has not cleared in either of the past two meetings, both of which have resulted in losses.
Meanwhile, Wilson has been more dangerous with his legs this year, leading all NFL QBs with a career-high 849 rushing yards and six TDs. He threw six less TD passes this season than in his previous two years in the league but also threw a career-low seven picks. Wilson’s passing yardage total at Bodog is 219.5 while his rushing yardage total is 40.5, and like Rodgers he did not top those numbers in either of the two previous games between the teams.
But Wilson had 268 passing yards and three TDs in Seattle’s 31-17 victory against the Carolina Panthers last Saturday in the NFC Divisional Playoffs, and he threw for a career-high 385 yards in the postseason two years ago.
Regardless, the strength of Seattle’s offense remains the rushing attack, led by running back Marshawn Lynch. Even though Lynch totaled just 59 yards on 14 carries against the Panthers, he is fully capable of rumbling through the Packers defense like he did in a 36-16 season-opening win against them with 110 yards on 20 carries and two TDs.
Lynch’s rushing yardage total at Bodog is set at 85.5, a number he surpassed eight times in 16 games during the regular season. A stronger bet is that he will score a touchdown at -190, something he has done in 10 of 17 games so far either through the air or on the ground.
Green Bay’s running game is dependent on RB Eddie Lacy, who had only three 100-yard performances during the regular season. Lacy did total 101 yards on 19 carries to help the Packers beat the Dallas Cowboys 26-21 in an NFC Divisional Playoff matchup.
However, he was held to 34 yards on 12 carries in the first meeting with the Seahawks, making it a risky proposition to bet him over 72.5 at Bodog.