You’ve heard from every analyst, expert and Monday morning quarterback with an opinion. How about some insight for the guys who know these Super Bowl contenders the best? We talk with NFL bloggers, who give a key reason why their team will not only win but cover during the Divisional Round games this weekend.
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers (-5.5, 52)
WHY DALLAS COVERS
K.D. Drummond is a senior columnist for CowboysHQ. He can be followed on Twitter @KDP10For10.
Dallas is 8-0 SU on the road and Tony Romo’s road stats actually beat out Rodgers’ home ones in the battle of MVP candidates. Romo’s 124.5 passer rating is ludicrous. In addition, when he’s in his regular routine, Romo is 11-0 in his last 11 starts on Sundays. That’s on top of the fact that Dallas is now 13-0 in “healthy” Romo games. Romo is spectacular at bringing his team back from behind, with five game-winning drives on the year and leading the league over the past three years. Meanwhile, the only hole in Rodgers game is his inability to perform when his team is behind down the stretch.
WHY GREEN BAY COVERS
Jason B. Hirschhorn writes for Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog for SB Nation. You can follow him on Twitter @jbhirschhorn.
The greatest advantage the Green Bay Packers have over an opponent is quarterback Aaron Rodgers. While his injured calf may not be 100 percent by Sunday, the rest provided by the week off should return enough of his mobility to give the Dallas defense fits all afternoon. Coupled with the fact that Green Bay’s defense allowed an average of just 12 points against their last three opponents, the Packers should take care of business at Lambeau.
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos (-7, 54)
Kyle Rodriguez is a senior writer and assistant editor at The Colts Authority. You can follow them on Facebook and Twitter @ColtsAuthority.
WHY INDIANAPOLIS COVERS
If the Colts win and/or cover at Denver, it will be because of Andrew Luck. The Broncos do almost everything better and more efficiently than the Colts, including pass the ball. But Luck has a ceiling on him that Manning no longer can reach at his age. We saw that ceiling from Luck last week, where he just controlled a talented Cincinnati defense throughout the game. Luck made great decisions and was impeccably accurate with his ball placement, making him near impossible to defend. If he plays like that again, the Colts will be tough to stop. They’ll need to steal a few series on defense, but they’ve been able to do that in both matchups against Manning in the last two years.
Kaptain Kirk writes for Bronco Planet. You can follow them on Facebook and Twitter @broncoplanet.
WHY DENVER COVERS
In a battle of two cerebral quarterbacks who run Top 5 offenses, it’s a matter of which defense can limit the opposing playcaller. The Denver Broncos have a plus-5 turnover ratio and the Indianapolis Colts are minus-5. I see Denver’s third-ranked defense as a better matchup than Indy’s 11th-ranked stop unit. That is the difference maker. A huge one.
Join the debate in the comment section below. Who covers Sunday: Cowboys or Packers? Colts or Broncos?