I would hate to be a team in need of a quarterback in the upcoming NFL draft. Not to say there isn’t talent in the group, but teams are going to be reaching in the top five for players who likely shouldn’t be taken anywhere before the middle of the first round. When you select in the top five, I’m an advocate for taking the best player available, but that’s just not how football works.
The quarterback is the most important position in sports and there is a massive premium on the position. So, which of this year’s new crop of signal-callers is most likely to go first?
To know this, we need to determine which teams selecting high need a quarterback. The Cleveland Browns select first overall and need a QB, but they have two first-round picks and will likely just take Myles Garrett at the top, since pass rush is also a team need, and address quarterbacks later. Most people naturally assume that the San Francisco 49ers at No. 2 will select a QB, which makes plenty of sense with a new offensive-focused coaching staff and garbage on their roster right now.
With the assumption that the 49ers will be the first team to nab a QB, Mitch Trubisky is listed as the +110 favorite to be the first signal-caller off the board. The UNC product has a strong arm and is a good athlete. Trubisky does come with plenty of question marks as he started just one season for the Tar Heels but he has the physical tools and the decision-making to at least be a solid QB for years to come.
Keep an eye on Notre Dame’s DeShone Kizer, who is currently being listed at +400. Kizer has a huge arm, great touch and can move well on the run. But he is not without question marks, as he has had bouts of inconsistent play for the Irish over the past two years as a starter.
Of course, all of this could change if the 49ers trade for Jimmy Garoppolo. Then the most likely team to take the plunge for a QB would be the Chicago Bears at No. 3, who are also reportedly going after the Patriots backup.
Who Will Be The First Quarterback Selected In 2017 NFL Draft?
Odds as of February 7, 2017 at BetOnline
- Mitch Trubisky +110
- Deshaun Watson +150
- DeShone Kizer +400
- Patrick Mahomes +2000