NFL Monday Night Football: Patriots Getting Too Much Respectvs. Chiefs

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USA Today Sports

There are a few NFL teams that give oddsmakers
headaches every time they end up on Monday Night Football. The
New England Patriots are one of those teams.

The Patriots opened as -4 point road favorites a week ago in
this matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs but that line
dipped to -3.5 when news came out that Chiefs running back
Jamaal Charles was listed as probable.
The line settled at -3 by Wednesday of last week.

“Overall, 68 percent of the handle is on New England and
right now we’re seeing balanced action at -3 (-110), so we’ll
likely keep the line there,” a
Sports Interaction oddsmaker said.

“In my opinion, the Pats are getting too much respect.
Realistically the line is probably New England -1.5 but you
can’t hang that number or you’d get too one-sided action.
You’re seeing a point and a half based on public perception.
Everyone loves the Pats.”

Meanwhile, the Chiefs have to view this as a statement game.
Kansas City has failed to cover the spread in each of its
last six home games and can’t afford to drop to 1-3 outright
with trips to San Francisco and San Diego coming up.

Still, MNF bettors aren’t rushing to the counter to take
Kansas City at +130 on the moneyline either.

“It’ll take a lot more than putting up a good fight in games
to get people on side with the Chiefs,”
Sports Interaction’s Greg Sindall said. “They’re not
exactly the most popular kid in the room so it’s going to
take more than that to stand out.”

Right now about 55 percent of total bettors are putting their
cash on under 47.5 points.
Sports Interaction’s oddsmaker expects the over/under to
hold at 47.5 up until kickoff, barring any major lineup or
weather changes.

“This will be and interesting matchup though,” he added. “New
England has yet to face a top-tier NFL team and although I’m
not about to claim the Chiefs are that, they’re certainly
better than Miami, Minnesota or Oakland – all of which the
Pats struggled against regardless of their two wins.”

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