NFL Week 11 Expert Betting Odds Picks

Each week the Westgate sportsbook in Las Vegas puts out a look-ahead line on NFL games for the following week. The oddsmakers at the Westgate listed Denver as 6.5-point road favorites against Chicago last week.
Lo-and-behold the Bears are favored now. It’s a wrong read by the marketplace. Chicago is not better than Denver.
Denver could be looking at a four-game losing skid if it loses this matchup because the following week it meets unbeaten New England. But I don’t see the Broncos falling to the Bears.

broncos still super bowl contender

The Broncos still are a Super Bowl contender. The Bears are well-coached by ex-Broncos head man John Fox. Their talented is limited, though, and their defense can’t compare to Denver’s.

The Broncos give up 4.3 yards per play compared to the Bears’ 5.6. Denver holds opposing quarterbacks to a 74.6 rating. Chicago allows a quarterback rating of 94.8.
Denver’s offense is going to pick up with the quarterback switch from Peyton Manning to Brock Osweiler. Manning ranked 31st of 32 qualifying quarterbacks, rated ahead of only Ryan Mallet. No quarterback has thrown more interceptions than Manning.

take vikings over packers in pick’em

Minnesota is the hottest point spread team in the league with eight straight covers. The Vikings have lost only once since opening week. I see them defeating Green Bay at home in this pick’em matchup.
The Vikings don’t have a weakness on defense. Adrian Peterson has re-emerged as the preeminent running back in the NFL and Stefon Diggs has upgraded the passing attack.

The Packers have lost their way losing three in a row. Aaron Rodgers and his receivers are out of sync, Eddie Lacy is enduring a lost season and the Packers haven’t recorded a sack in their last three games.
Forget that Washington scored 47 points on New Orleans last Sunday. I’d be surprised if the Redskins break the 20-point barrier this week at Carolina. I like this total to go under 45 points.

Only five teams surrender fewer points per game than the Panthers. The Redskins have gotten healthy on defense. The Panthers are a run-oriented team. So is Washington. Lots of running plays means fewer clock stoppages.


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