After only scoring 10 points against the Green Bay Packers on Sunday, the oddsmakers are expecting a lot more out of the Seattle Seahawks offense this week.
Seattle is currently a 13.5 point favorite for Thursday night’s game against the Los Angeles Rams , which makes the Seahawks the biggest favorites of Week 15.
On one hand that number seems kind of shocking because the Seahawks have only won two of their eight games by more than 14 points, and they’ll be going up against a Rams team that’s beaten them three times in a row. This is also a Rams team that’s giving up just 14.7 points per game against divisional opponents this year.
On the other hand, Russell Wilson is unbeatable at home in prime time (8-1 since 2012) and the Seahawks are 3-0 both straight-up and ATS after a loss this year, with those three wins coming by an average of 19.3 points. Basically, don’t be surprised if the Seahawks are out for blood.
The Seahawks are one of three teams this week that are favored by 10 or more points. One of the most intriguing spreads of Week 15 involves the Cleveland Browns game in Buffalo. The Buffalo Bills are currently a 10-point favorite even though their coach might get fired and their quarterback might lose his job.
This game feels like the “Will the Players Quit on Their Coach Bowl.” Will Bills players quit on Ryan? Will players from the 0-13 Browns quit on coach Hue Jackson?
The final double-digit spread in Week 15 involves the Atlanta Falcons and 49ers. The 49ers are currently an 12.5 point underdog, which shouldn’t be that surprising considering the fact that they haven’t covered the spread of any game played in the Eastern Time Zone since Jim Harbaugh left following the 2014 season.
The Dallas Cowboys are also big favorites this week. Dallas is favored by 7.5 points over a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that currently has the longest winning streak in the NFL at five games.
Let’s get to this week’s odds and see who else is favored to win in Week 15.
NFL Week 15 early odds
(All lines via VegasInsider.com, all games on Sunday unless noted)
Rams (4-9) at Seahawks (8-4-1), Thursday
- Opening line: Seahawks, -12.5 points
- Current line: Seahawks, -13.5 points
This is an odd spread for several reasons: First, the Rams are actually good against the Seahawks. The Rams have won three straight against Seattle and four of their past five. Second, the Rams have been dominating in division games over the past two seasons. Since the beginning of 2015, the Rams 6-3 against NFC West teams and 5-15 against everyone else. That being said, the Seahawks are never a horrible bet at home. Since Russell Wilson’s career started in 2012, Seattle is 8-1 straight-up at home in prime-time games. The Seahawks are also 3-0 ATS after a loss this year, which is tied for the best mark in the NFL.
Miami Dolphins (8-5) at New York Jets (4-9)
- Opening line: Dolphins, -3 points
- Current line: Dolphins, -3 points
Before you think about betting this game, you better think about how you feel about Dolphins backup quarterback Matt Moore . With Ryan Tannehill likely out for the season, the Dolphins will be turning to Moore, who hasn’t started a game since Miami’s regular-season finale in 2011. Back in Week 9, the Dolphins barely beat the Jets (27-23) with Tannehill, and that game was at home. Including that game, the Dolphins have lost three of four to the Jets. Moore’s career record as a starter is 13-12. The upside for the Dolphins is that Moore will be going up against an equally inexperienced quarterback in Bryce Petty .
Buccaneers (8-5) at Cowboys (11-2)
- Opening line: Cowboys, -8.5 points
- Current line: Cowboys, -7.5 points
With an ATS mark of 9-4 this season, the Cowboys continue to be the NFL’s safest bet in 2016. However, it’s probably worth pointing out that the Cowboys haven’t been as safe lately, covering exactly zero times in their past three games. It also wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Cowboys struggle against a hot Buccaneers team that’s 5-1 both straight-up and ATS in road games this year. Also, the Bucs are on a five-game winning streak, which is the team’s longest winning streak since the 2002 season when they won the Super Bowl. It’s also tied for the longest winning streak in the NFL right now. Since Week 10, the Bucs are only giving up 12.8 points per game, which is the best mark in the NFL in that span. Finally, the Bucs haven’t won in Dallas since 2001.
Detroit Lions (9-4) at San Francisco Giants (9-4)
- Opening line: Giants, -5.5 points
- Current line: Giants, -4.5 points
With 265 yards passing per game, Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford has accounted for roughly 80 percent of Detroit’s total offense this year, which is something you should keep in mind before betting the Lions. Stafford tore a ligament in the middle finger on his throwing hand, which could affect his ability to throw the ball in New York. With weather in the 40s expected, Stafford could have the same trouble in this game that Derek Carr and his pinkie had against the Kansas City Chiefs . With a healthy Stafford, the Lions are 8-5 ATS this season, which is tied for the fourth-best mark in the NFL. The Lions have lost three of the past four in this series and haven’t beat the Giants in New York since 2004.
Philadelphia Eagles (5-8) at Baltimore Ravens (7-5)
- Opening line: Ravens, -6 points
- Current line: Ravens, -6 points
The Eagles are on a four-game losing streak and things don’t get any easier this week as they’ll be playing the NFL’s top-ranked defense in Baltimore. Rookie quarterback Carson Wentz has struggled against average defenses, so you should probably keep your expectations pretty low for him in this game. The Eagles have never beaten the Ravens in Baltimore, but you probably shouldn’t take that into account because they’ve only played them twice there. The Eagles have had some success against the AFC though. Since the beginning of 2015, Philly is 5-2 both straight-up and ATS against teams from the AFC. This six-point spread is the largest the Ravens have been favored over any team this year, including the Browns.
Packers (7-6) at Chicago Bears (3-10)
- Opening line: Packers, -4 points
- Current line: Packers, -5 points
Before you bet this game, make sure to get an update on Aaron Rodgers . After Green Bay’s win over Seattle, Rodgers admitted that he played most of the game with a calf injury, which was on top of the hamstring injury he had going into the game. Speaking of Rodgers, he seems to love Soldier Field, where he hasn’t lost since 2010. Although the Bears are an ugly 3-10 this year, don’t sleep on them: They’ve covered the spread in four straight games and five of their past six. The Packers beat the Bears 26-10 back in Week 7, and have beaten the Bears in five of their past six meetings.
Indianapolis Colts (6-7) at Minnesota Vikings (7-6)
- Opening line: Vikings, -4 points
- Current line: Vikings, -4 points
This is basically a playoff elimination game, and it’s hard to see the Colts putting up many points against Minnesota’s third-ranked defense after the way Indy struggled against the Houston Texans ‘ sixth-ranked defense in Week 13. Betting the Vikings against an AFC team has been one of the safest bets in football recently. Since 2014, the Vikings are 10-1 ATS against AFC teams, which is the best mark in the NFL over that span. Also, the Vikings are 3-0 straight-up and ATS against the AFC South this season. Of course, the one AFC team that Vikings can’t seem to beat would be the Colts. Minnesota hasn’t beaten Indy since 1997.
Browns (0-13) at Bills (6-7)
- Opening line: Bills, -10 points
- Current line: Bills, -10 points
After a hot start to the season, the Bills have turned into a team you want to avoid when betting. Over their past seven games, Buffalo is 2-5 straight-up and just 1-6 ATS. It’s hard to gauge what kind of emotion the Bills might be playing with this week because both their coach (Rex Ryan) and starting quarterback ( Tyrod Taylor ) could be out of a job. Ryan wouldn’t commit to Taylor for Week 15, and CBS Sports NFL Insider Jason La Canfora reported over the weekend that Ryan could be out of a job before the Bills play the Browns. Of course, the drama in Buffalo might not matter because after all, this is the Browns we’re talking about. The Browns are 2-11 ATS this year, which is the worst mark in the NFL.
Tennessee Titans (7-6) at Chiefs (10-3)
- Opening line: Chiefs, -6 points
- Current line: Chiefs, -6 points
Although the Chiefs have been good at home this season (5-1), they haven’t been good at covering the spread (2-3-1). Even with a healthy Justin Houston , this could be a tough matchup for a Chiefs team that has one of the four worst rushing defenses in the NFL. That’s a problem because the Titans are averaging over 140 yards per game on the ground this year, which is third best in the NFL. The Titans have covered in three of their past four games, a span that includes wins over the Packers (47-25) and Denver Broncos (13-10). Also, five of the Chiefs’ past six games have been decided by five points or less.
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-11) at Texans (7-6)
- Opening line: Texans, -5 points
- Current line: Texans, -5.5 points
The Texans don’t dominate many teams in the NFL, but they do dominate the Jaguars. Houston has won five straight over Jacksonville, including a 24-21 win back in Week 10. The Jaguars have lost eight in a row and are just 2-6 ATS over that span. The Texans are just one of two teams in the NFL this year that’s undefeated both straight-up and ATS in within their division (the Ravens are the other).
New Orleans Saints (5-8) at Arizona Cardinals (5-7-1)
- Opening line: Cardinals, -2.5 points
- Current line: Cardinals, -2.5 points
Putting money on the Cardinals has been one of the worst bets in the NFL this season. Through 14 weeks, Arizona is just 4-9 ATS, which is the third-worst mark in the NFL this year, ahead of only Cleveland and San Francisco. The Saints have been slightly better ATS, going 7-5-1. However, the Saints have been ice cold over their past two games, going 0-2 both straight-up and ATS. Also, Drew Brees hasn’t thrown in two weeks, making the first time since 2009 that he’s been held consecutive games without a TD pass. These two teams played last season in Arizona, with the Cards winning 31-19. The Saints haven’t won in Arizona since October 2000.
49ers (1-12) at Falcons (8-5)
- Opening line: Falcons, -11.5 points
- Current line: Falcons, -12.5 points
Since Jim Harbaugh left San Francisco after the 2014 season, the 49ers have been absolutely terrible in 1 p.m. ET games. Since the beginning of 2015, the 49ers are 0-6 both straight-up and ATS in Eastern Time. Seriously, they’ve lost them all, and that winless total includes a record of 0-3 this year with those three losses coming by an average of 18.3 points. Also, the 49ers are an NFC-worst 2-10-1 ATS this season, and let’s not forget that this game will feature the NFL’s highest scoring offense (Atlanta) against the league’s worst defense (San Francisco). The Falcons put up 42 points on the Rams, and they didn’t have Julio Jones in that game. All that aside, the 49ers did pull off an outright upset against Atlanta last season in a game where they were 7.5 point underdogs.
New England Patriots (10-2) at Broncos (8-5)
- Opening line: Patriots, -3 points
- Current line: Patriots. -3 points
Between the regular season and the playoffs, the home team in this series has won every game that these two teams have played dating back to 2012 (a total of six games). If that’s going to change, there’s a good chance it will change this year. Not only are the Patriots 6-0 in road games this year, but they’re also 5-1 ATS. Coincidentally, this is the third time in four years that the Patriots will have to face the Broncos coming off a Monday night game. The teams are 1-1 in the previous two meetings with both games going into overtime. Here’s one more note: The Broncos are 4-0 as a home underdog since 2014, which is tied with the Saints for the best mark in the NFL over that span.
Oakland Raiders (10-3) at San Diego Chargers (5-8)
- Opening line: Raiders, -2.5 points
- Current line: Raiders, -3 points
After a disastrous showing in Kansas City, Derek Carr and his injured pinkie will be happy to know that they won’t be playing in 20-degree weather this week. Temperatures in San Diego are expected to be 63 degrees and sunny on Sunday. The Raiders have won three in row against the Chargers, a total that includes a 34-31 victory at home in Week 5. The Chargers could be missing Melvin Gordon (hip) for this game. If Gordon’s out, the Chargers might have a tough time keeping up with the Raiders. Oakland is 5-1 both straight-up and ATS in road games this season.
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-7-1)
- Opening line: Steelers, -3 points
- Current line: Steelers, -3 points
The Bengals aren’t a home underdog often, but when they are, they cover. Since the beginning of the 2013 season, the Bengals are 4-0-1 ATS when in games where they’re a home underdog. However, that might not matter against the Steelers, who have won three straight in this series and three straight at Paul Brown Stadium (including the postseason). As a matter of fact, including the playoffs, the Steelers are 6-1 in their past seven trips to Cincinnati. Over their past four games this season, the Steelers are 4-0 both straight-up and ATS.
Carolina Panthers (5-8) at Washington Redskins (7-5-1), Monday
- Opening line: Redskins, -4 points
- Current line: Redskins, -4.5 points
If you’re wondering how the Panthers went from 15-1 in 2015 to 5-8 this season, just look at their road record. The Panthers have been a disastrous 1-5 straight-up and just 1-4-1 ATS, which has been bad news for bettors. As for the Redskins, although their 3-2-1 record over their past six games isn’t that impressive, they have gone 5-1 ATS. As a matter of fact, the Redskins are 9-4 ATS this season, which is tied with the Cowboys as the second-best mark in the NFL. However, we might have to throw all those nice stats out the window since this is a Monday night game. Since 2010, the Redskins are just 2-7 straight-up on Mondays, including a 38-16 loss to the Steelers in Week 1. They’ll also be playing a Panthers team that has won four straight against the Redskins, including a 44-16 win in Charlotte last season.
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