NLDS betting preview: Dodgers at Cardinals, Nationals at Giants

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Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals (+156,
6.5)

The Los Angeles Dodgers turn to their ace in an effort to stave
off elimination when they visit the St. Louis Cardinals for
Game 4 of their National League Division Series on Tuesday.
Clayton Kershaw gets the start on short rest as NL West
champion Los Angeles finds itself down 2-1 in the best-of-five
matchup after dropping a 3-1 decision in Game 3. The Dodgers
received a strong six-inning effort from Hyun-Jin Ryu and
forged a tie on Hanley Ramirez’s RBI double in the sixth before
Kolten Wong belted a two-run homer off Scott Elbert a frame
later.

Matt Carpenter continued his offensive onslaught with a double
and a solo blast as he improved to 6-for-12 with three doubles,
three homers and seven RBIs in the series. The NL
Central-champion Cardinals have had their way with several Los
Angeles pitchers, pounding Kershaw for eight runs in the series
opener while reaching the relief trio of Elbert, J.P. Howell
and Pedro Baez for a total of six runs in 3 1/3 innings. With a
victory Tuesday, St. Louis advances to the NL Championship
Series for the fourth consecutive year.

TV: 5:07 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

LINE HISTORY:
The Cards opened +152 home dogs and
moved to +173, before being adjusted to +156. The total has
held at 6.5.

WEATHER: Wind will blow out to right field at
13 mph at Busch Stadium. Temperatures will be in the mid-70s.

POWER RANKINGS: Dodgers (-199), Cardinals
(-192)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: “This is an evenly matched
series, and as such, it’s going to be awfully tough for the
Cards to notch a second straight win, against Dodgers ace
Clayton Kershaw no less. But it’s tough to find much value in
L.A. laying 70 cents or more in this spot. I believe we could
be in for another ‘over’ result after back-to-back low-scoring
games between these two. The Cards have had Kershaw’s number in
the postseason, while Shelby Miller has taken a bit of a step
back during an uneven 2014 campaign. Think we see some runs
here.” Covers
Expert Sean Murphy.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw
(0-1, 10.80 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (2014 regular
season: 10-9, 3.74)

Kershaw gets the chance to redeem himself on three days’ rest
after imploding in the seventh inning of his series-opening
loss. The overwhelming favorite to win his second straight Cy
Young Award and third in four years, he entered the frame with
a 6-2 lead but allowed hits to six of the eight batters he
faced before being lifted and ultimately was charged with eight
runs in 6 2/3 innings. The 26-year-old Kershaw also pitched on
three days’ rest in last year’s NLDS, yielding two unearned
runs and three hits over six innings in a no-decision against
Atlanta.

Miller will be making his first career postseason start after
allowing three runs over 4 1/3 innings in three relief
appearances over the previous two years. The Houston native,
who is three days shy of his 24th birthday, has not lost since
Aug. 11 – going 2-0 over his final eight starts of the regular
season. Miller, who made his only relief appearance of the
campaign against the Dodgers on July 20, fell to 1-1 in five
games – three starts – versus the club after surrendering six
runs over five frames in a loss at Los Angeles on June 29.

TWEET BEAT:

TRENDS:

* Dodgers are 1-4 in Kershaw’s last five road starts vs.
Cardinals.
* Dodgers are 6-0 in their last six during game 4 of a
series.
* Cardinals are 7-0 in their last seven home games vs. a
left-handed starter.
* Over is 8-1 in Miller’s last nine starts vs. National League
West.

COVERS CONSENSUS:
According to Covers Consensus, 58.67
percent of bettors are supporting the Dodgers.

Washington Nationals at San Francisco
Giants (+120, 6.5)

Bryce Harper has provided the fireworks while Anthony Rendon
has been far more consistent during the Washington Nationals’
first three contests of the postseason. The duo will need more
of the same if Washington hopes to stave off elimination when
it visits the San Francisco Giants for Game 4 of their National
League Division Series on Tuesday. Harper belted his second
solo homer of the set to put an exclamation point on the
Nationals’ 4-1 win on Monday while Rendon added two singles to
improve to 7-for-15 in the postseason.

When considering playoff success, look no further than Pablo
Sandoval. The Giants’ mammoth star ripped a pair of singles to
extend his postseason hitting streak to 14 games, which is one
shy of the NL record set by Atlanta’s Marquis Grissom (1995-96)
and three short of Hank Bauer (1956-58), Derek Jeter (1998-99)
and Manny Ramirez (2003-04) for the major-league mark. Sandoval
is just 1-for-10 in his career versus Tuesday starter Gio
Gonzalez, while Harper has struck out four times while going
1-for-8 against San Francisco’s Ryan Vogelsong.

TV: 9:07 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

LINE HISTORY: The Giants opened as +111 home
dogs and are now +120. The total has held at 6.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s
and wind will blow out to dead-centerfield at 11 mph.

POWER RANKINGS: Nationals (-199), Giants
(-184)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY:
“The Giants were in the driver’s
seat heading back to San Francisco up 2-0 in the series, but
there’s no question losing with their ace Madison Bumgarner on
the hill struck a major blow. Now the pitching matchup swings
back in the Nationals favor with Gio Gonzalez getting the nod.
He has a lot to prove after an up and down regular season.
While home field might indicate otherwise, I do think the
oddsmakers have it right by installing the Nats as the favorite
here.” Covers
Expert Sean Murphy.

PITCHING MATCHUP:
Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (10-10,
3.57 ERA) vs. Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (8-13, 4.00)

Gonzalez finished the regular season with a flourish, winning
four of his final five starts – highlighted by a 3-0 triumph
over the New York Mets on Sept. 25 in which he allowed one hit
and struck out a career-high 12 over seven innings. The
29-year-old recorded a 2.48 ERA in September, which is over a
full run less than the mark he posted this season. Gonzalez
owns a 2-2 career record versus the Giants but did not face
them this season as he missed the series in June due to
shoulder inflammation while his turn in the rotation didn’t
come to pass during the three-game set in Washington from Aug.
22-24.

While Gonzalez excelled in the final month, Vogelsong limped to
an 0-4 mark with a 5.53 ERA in September. The 37-year-old
permitted four runs for the third straight outing en route to a
4-1 setback to San Diego on Sept. 26. Vogelsong was blitzed for
six runs in as many innings of a 9-2 loss to Washington on June
9 before receiving a no-decision after allowing three runs and
four hits in 5 1/3 frames on Aug. 24.

TWEET BEAT:



TRENDS:

* Giants are 1-4 in their last five games with Hunter
Wendelstedt behind home plate.
* Over is 3-1-1 in Vogelsong’s last five starts vs.
Nationals.
* Nationals are 5-0 in their last five road games.
* Giants are 2-8 in Vogelsong’s last 10 home starts.

COVERS CONSENSUS:
According to Covers Consensus, 53.9
percent of bettors are behind the Nats.

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