Notre Dame at Florida State – 10-17-2014

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(5) Notre Dame Fighting Irish at (2) Florida
State Seminoles (-11.5)

Second-ranked Florida State puts its school-record 22-game
winning streak — and perhaps its hopes of repeating as national
champion — on the line when it hosts No. 5 Notre Dame on
Saturday. The Seminoles have dodged a couple of upset bids in
their title defense and face their toughest test yet as they
aim for their eighth straight win over a ranked team. The
Fighting Irish could vault into the playoff picture with a
victory but still have two more road trips scheduled against
ranked opponents.

A loss wouldn’t necessarily knock the Seminoles out of the
four-team playoff picture, but their schedule is relatively
weak compared to teams from other power conferences and could
hurt them when considering other one-loss teams. “Anytime you
play a high-ranked opponent you want to be successful because
it gives you tons of credibility,” Florida State coach Jimbo
Fisher told reporters. “We don’t look at it as an end-all game,
but it’s a very important game.” Florida State has won five of
seven all-time meetings, but the the Fighting Irish emerged
victorious in the only previous clash in Tallahassee in
2002. 

TV: 8:23 p.m. ET, ABC. LINE:
Florida State -11.5. 

LINE HISTORY: The opening the line sat at
FSU-12.5, but action on Notre Dame has shifted the line to FSU
-11.5. 

INJURY REPORT: Notre Dame – N/A
 FSU – WR Rashad Greene (Prob-Foot),
RB Karlos Williams (Ques-Ankle), DT Derrick Mitchell Jr.
(Ques-Knee)

WEATHER REPORT: It should be a beautiful night for
football. Temperatures will be near 85°F with no humidity and
clear skies.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: “With Jameis Winston
behind center this becomes a showdown of two quarterbacks who
have each never lost a regular season start on the college
level.  Interestingly, defending national champions are
only 10-17-2 ATS since 1980 as favorites of less than 14 points
a matchup of undefeated teams.  The off-field distraction
factor can’t help the Seminoles chances today.” – Covers Expert Marc Lawrence

WHAT BOOKS SAY: “We opened this at FSU
-12.5 and moved up to -13.5 with the early action. We’ve since
pulled the game off the board amid the uncertainty surrounding
Jameis Winston’s status. If he plays I could see this reaching
-16. If he doesn’t we have to be careful because bettors
hammered Clemson, and won, when he was suspended earlier this
season.” – John Lester Senior Lines Manager at
Bookmaker.eu

CHEERLEADER WAR:

ABOUT NOTRE DAME (6-0): The Irish have boasted
one of the nation’s top defenses for most of the season, but
that reputation was dinged in last week’s 50-43 win over North
Carolina. If it turns into a shootout, Notre Dame’s offense is
in good hands with quarterback Everett Golson, who has passed
for 16 touchdowns and rushed for a team-high four scores.
Golson has thrown TD passes to eight different receivers, but
his favorite target is Will Fuller, who has grabbed 35
receptions for 504 yards and seven TDs — all team-highs. 

ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (6-0): While the Seminoles
have kept along on the field, controversy continues to surround
Heisman Trophy quarterback Jameis Winston, whose off-field
distractions now include Florida State reportedly investigating
whether he accepted payment for signing memorabilia. All is
well between the lines for the offense, though, particularly
Winston and star wideout Rashad Greene, who became the school’s
all-time leading receiver with 215 receptions after snagging
six passes in a 38-20 win at Syracuse on Saturday and leads the
ACC in nearly every receiving category. The defense has allowed
opponents to move the ball but has stiffened inside the 20,
allowing only 10 touchdowns on 25 red-zone trips. 

TWEET BEAT:

TRENDS:

*Fighting Irish are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning
record.
*Seminoles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
*Under is 9-2-1 in Fighting Irish last 12 road games vs. a team
with a winning home record.
*Under is 4-0 in Seminoles last 4 home games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 68.83 percent of
Covers users are backing the Fighting Irish +11.5.

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